NFL Week 13: Thanksgiving Games Picks, Predictions & Colin Cowherd’s Blazin’ 5

Chicago Bears @ Detroit Lions, Ford Field, 12:30 PM, FOX (Lions +5.5, O/U: 37.5)

Mitchell Trubisky has had a extremely rough season and has dealt with much criticism of his play (or lack thereof). Last week he stepped up a bit from his own grave and threw for a score and ran for another while also posting his first 250 yard passing game for the first time in 4 weeks. He’s been the handcuff of the offense that has above average offensive talent at most positions. The generational defense that the Bears have, have kept them in nearly every game (7 of their 11 games), as 7 of their 11 game decisions (win or lose), have been within 1 score or less.

The Lions will be without Stafford for the 4th straight game and they will actually turn to 3rd stringer, David Blough, as Jeff Driskel will back him up as he’s been having hamstring issues all week. Not having Kerryon Johnson has been a big loss for this offense, losing Stafford was icing on the cake. The Lions defense can also get at the quarterback with the likes of Devon Kennard and Trey Flowers, who have 6 and 5 sacks respectfully. The rest of the defense has produced 12 sacks but have not had much success in turning over the ball through the air, with just 15 takeaways, 4 by way of interceptions.

Get your Thanksgiving naps in early, for this one, you can afford to miss. Take the Bears to cover in the under, Bears 20-13.

Buffalo Bills @ Dallas Cowboys, AT&T Stadium, 4:30 PM, CBS (Cowboys -6.5, O/U: 47.5)

The Bills caught people by a bit of a surprise as they come into this matchup 8-3 and holding on to 2nd in the AFC East, vying for a playoff spot via a wildcard slot. Sure they’ve played and beat the Dolphins twice but signature games were at home against the Pats, losing by only 6 and beating the Titans on the road (who usually paly tough at home), losing a close one (by a field goal) in Cleveland against their tough defense, and last week at home against a surprisingly resilient Broncos team. Allen could play better but his grit gives this team juice to keep fighting. The tandem of Gore and Singletary has produced over 1,000 yards and 4 TD’s combined on the ground while Allen adds another 350+ yards and 7 additional rushing scores. Jordan Phillips and Shaq Lawson have combined for 11 sacks on a defense that gets after the quarterback a lot (33 team sacks). Tre’Davious White leads the team in picks with 4 but the team only has caused 13 turnovers.

The Cowboys are coming off a tough loss to the Patriots but to hold Brady to just 13 points is a small victory as it greatly frustrated him in the postgame interviews. Dak is having an exceptional year, already over 3,400 yards with 21 TD’s. Zeke has nearing the 1,000 yard mark and could cross it with a solid game today. He also adds 7 scores to the stat sheet while his impressive backup, Tony Pollard, has kept the rushing yards average high in his limited duty (4.67 yards per carry). The 2 headed monster on the outside of the offense Cooper/Gallup, have benefited from Dak’s play as they seem to be racing each other for the first guy to cross 1,000 yards receiving as Cooper has racked up 886 yards and 7 scores while Gallup has tallied 733 yards and 3 scores. Sprinkle in Cobb (581 yards, 3 scores) and you could get pretty damn close to having 3 receivers with 1,000 yards. Their defense also likes to gobble up quarterbacks with their 27.5 sacks with Robert Quinn leading the way with 9.5 on his own. The one caveat is that most of the quarterbacks they’ve faced have been pocket passers whereas Allen likes to move, frequently.

This will be a tough test for the Bills, certainly their toughest road game of the year. Pull up the TV to the table or take your dinner scraps into the den/living room, because this will be one you want to see. Take the Bills to cover in the loss, in the over, Cowboys 27-24.

New Orleans Saints, Atlanta Falcons, Mercedes-Benz Superdome, 8:20 PM, NBC (Falcons +7.5, O/U: 48.5)

Who Dat Nation heads a few hours East for the Thanksgiving finale. Bridgewater kept them viable in the NFC South and Brees has kept that momentum going since his return as he started with 400 yards while throwing 2 TD’s and 2 picks in the first game and a quarter into the second game but has nearly 1,200 yards, with 9 TD’s and just 2 picks since coming back. Kamara has been splitting rushing duties with Murray and they’ve compiled a nice season already, combining for over 1,000 yards and 6 TD’s on the ground. Murray has freed up Kamara to do his thing in the passing game more this season as he’s had 60 catches for 421 yards and a score there as well, as he’s seen his targets tick upwards with Brees back. Michael Thomas is essentially their only receiver worthy of a look every single play and it’s shown on the stat sheet as he’s gained 124 targets, catching 104 of them for 1,242 yards and 6 TD’s. That’s usually a seasons worth for really good receivers and we’re only through week 12. The Defense has been huge this year as well with 30 sacks, lead by Cam Jordan (9.5 of his own) and Marcus Williams who has a team leading 4 picks. The impressive wins have already been racked up against the Texans, Seahawks (in Seattle), Cowboys, Bears (in Chicago) and Panthers and tonight they look to exact revenge from the loss the Falcons gave them just 3 weeks ago.

The Falcons are just 3-8 after coming into this season with playoff aspirations. Coach Dan Quinn was on the hotseat after dropping 6 straight after a 1-1 start but they are 2-1 since the bye week. One can make a case for the tough schedule as they played the likes of the Vikings, Eagles, Texans, Rams and Seahawks outside of their conference, in which they went 1-3 in those games. The turnaround was the bye week and coming out of the Saints game with a win. Matty Ice is nearing 3,000 yards and has 18TD’s to 10 picks. He has still stayed confident through all of this year as he’s completed 67% of his passes. The lack of a running attack has lopsided this offense and has put more pressure on Ryan to do more, which could explain some of the picks. Freeman, a once stud in the backfield, has severely dropped off the last few season as this year he only has 371 yards on 107 carries and still has yet to find the endzone on the ground. Julio Jones (64 catches for 950 yards & 4 TD’s), Calvin Ridley (50 catches for 699 yards & 6 TD’s) and Austin Hooper (56 catches for 608 yards & 6 TD’s) have given Ryan plenty to be thankful for as far as targets go. The defense has been ok at times but very lacking at other times. They have a few good pass rushers in Grady Jarrett (5.5 sacks), Vic Beasley (4 sacks) & Adrian Clayborn (4 sacks) but overall as a defense, their spotty.

Take the Saints to exact revenge and serve up the final loss of the day, in the over, Saints 31-20.

Colin Cowherd’s Blazin’ 5:

  • San Francisco at Baltimore – Baltimore (-5.5)
  • Washington at Carolina – Carolina (-9.5)
  • Oakland at Kansas City – Oakland (+9.5)
  • Philadelphia at Miami – Miami (+9.5)
  • LA Rams at Arizona – Arizona (+3)


NFL Week 12: Monday Night Football Pick, Prediction & Colin Cowherd’s Blazin’ 5

Baltimore Ravens @ Los Angeles Rams, Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum, 8:15 PM, ESPN (Rams +3.5, O/U: 47.5)

The Ravens are currently on a 6 game winning streak and while in those 6 hans, they’ve beaten the Bengals twice, they’ve also taken down giants like the Seahawks (in Seattle) and the Patriots (at home). The Ravens have a great balance of run and pass skill as Lamar Jackson has over 2,200 yards through the air and another nearly 800 on the ground. He and Mark Ingram have combined for over 1,400 yards alone. Mark Andrews and Marquise “Hollywood” Brown have lead the way in receiving to help make the team one of the top offenses in the league. The defense has come along as well, keeping opposing teams to at or less than 40% on 3rd down and 4th down conversions.

The Rams have lost the offensive identity they once had. Some of that is health issues on the offensive line, some if it is McVay not utilizing Gurley like he should and partly because Gurley’s production has dropped off when given carries. That’s not to say Gurley isn’t productive, he’s just not what he was when he got his most recent payday. Cooper Kupp remains Goff’s top target, leading the team in Targets (94), Receptions (61), Reception Yards (845) and Reception TD’s (5). The defense is still keeping them in games with Donald leading them in sacks with 8 and Matthews not far behind with 7. They’ve had a slow start to the second half if the season since they’re bye but hope to get going again at home tonight.

Take the Ravens to cover in the over, Ravens 31-21.

NFL Week 12: Sunday Games, Picks, Predictions & Colin Cowherd’s Blazin’ 5

Carolina Panthers @ New Orleans Saints, Mercedes-Benz Superdome, 1:00 PM (Saints -10.5, O/U: 46.5)

Take the Saints to cover in the under, Saints 28-17.

Denver Broncos @ Buffalo Bills, New Era Field, 1:00 PM (Bills -4.5, O/: 37.5)

Take the Bills to cover in the over, Bills 24-17.

Detroit Lions @ Washington Redskins, FedEx Field, 1:00 PM (Redskins +4.5, O/U: 40.5)

Take the Lions to cover in the over, Lions 27-20.

Miami Dolphins @ Cleveland Browns, FirstEnergy Stadium, 1:00 PM (Browns -10.5, O/U: 45.5)

Take the Dolphins to cover in the loss, in the under, Browns 21-13.

New York Giants @ Chicago Bears, Soldier Field, 1:00 PM (Bears -6.5, O/U: 40.5)

Take the Giants to cover in the loss, in the under, Bears 20-17.

Oakland Raiders @ New York Jets, MetLife Stadium 1:00 PM (Jets +3.5, O/U: 45.5)

Take the Raiders to cover in the over, Raiders 28-20.

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Cincinnati Bengals, Paul Brown Stadium, 1:00 PM (Bengals +6.5, O/U: 37.5)

Take the Steelers to cover in the over, Steelers 23-13.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Atlanta Falcons Mercedes-Benz Superdome, 1:00 PM (Falcons -3.5, O/U: 51.5)

Take the Falcons to cover in the over, Falcons 31-27.

Seattle Seahawks @ Philadelphia Eagles, Lincoln Financial Field, 1:00 PM (Eagles -1.5, O/U: 46.5)

Take the Seahawks to cover in the under, Seahawks 24-20.

Jacksonville Jaguars @ Tennessee Titans, Nissan Stadium, 4:05 PM (Titans -3.5, O/U: 41.5)

Take the Titans to cover in the under, Titans 21-17.

Dallas Cowboys @ New England Patriots, Gillette Stadium, 4:25 PM (Patriots -5.5, O/U: 44.5)

Take the Patriots to cover in the over, Patriots 31-24.

Green Bay Packers @ San Francisco 49ers, Levi’s Stadium, 8:20 PM (49ers -3.5, O/U: 47.5)

Take the Packers to cover in the over, Packers 27-24.

Colin Cowherd’s Blazin’ 5:

  • Denver at Buffalo – Denver (+3.5)
  • NY Giants at Chicago – NY Giants (+6)
  • Oakland at NY Jets – Oakland (-3)
  • Dallas at New England – Dallas (+6.5)
  • Seattle at Philadelphia – Seattle (+1.5)

NFL Week 12: Thursday Night Game Pick & Prediction

Indianapolis Colts @ Houston Texans, NRG Stadium, 8:20 PM, FOX/NFLN (Texans -3.5, O/U: 46.5)

The fight for the top of the AFC South is on tonight. Both teams come into this one 6-4 with the Titans on their heels at 5-5 and the Jags within striking distance at 4-6.

The Colts won the first meeting between the 2 at home which came off of a bye. Brissett threw over 300 yards and for 4 TD’s in the game. He has since slowed a bit while also going down during the Steelers game that next week, missing the dolphins game and had a mediocre game last week against the Jags. Marlon Mack went off last week to supplement Brissett as he only has 14 carries but for 109 yards and a touchdown, averaging over 7 yards per carry.

The Texans are coming off a week that saw them get blown out on the road against a red hot Ravens team who covets the top rated offense. The Texans were seen as a team that was going to get into a shootout with Lamar Jackson but they were duds. They’ve found their identity however with Duke Johnson and Carlos Hyde splitting carries and keeping the balance of the offense while Watson finds those opportunities for chunk plays down field that can cut the field in half with 40-50 yard completions.

Short week tends to favor the home team and with the extra motivation after getting drubbed on the road, the Texans have the motivation despite how well the Colts have played on the road. Take the Texans to cover in the over, Texans 27-21.

NFL Week 11: Monday Night Football Pick, Prediction & Colin Cowherd’s Blazin’ 5

Kansas City Chiefs @ Los Angeles Chargers, Estadio Azteca – Mexico City, 8:15 PM, ESPN (Chargers +6.5, O/U: 52.5)

Patrick Mahomes showed up in his first game back from a dislocated knee cap, with a 400+ yard performance. Despite his big performance, the defense couldn’t hold up their end of the bargain and they gave up well over 200 yards of rushing, which has been a huge weak spot for the defense. Henry is good but Melvin Gordon is better. The Chiefs managed to survive those 2 weeks while Mahomes was missing and walked away with a 1-1 record, nearly beating the Packers but beating the Vikings, 2 quality opponents. The Chiefs will get back some key offensive lineman for the game so expect them to utilize the running game a bit even without McCoy being held from making the trip for some load management reason Andy Reid gave but most likely due to his fumbling issues.

Melvin Gordon paired with Austin Ekeler who has similar numbers as Gordon, will be the Chargers key offensively, to putting points on the board and keeping drives long which will in turn keep Mahomes on the sideline. The Chargers spent the week in the Rockies to get ready to play in the elevation of Mexico City, something the Belichick had done in the past to get ready for a game in Mexico’s high altitude. Rookie Justin Jackson adds a speed back change of pace as he is averaging over 7 yards per carry when he gets touches. Phillip Rivers has to overcome the 3 picks he threw last week (to move to 3rd in the league in interceptions) to get a gritty win over the Chiefs this week. Rivers however, is third in the league in passing yards and has nearly 2,300 yards spread between Allen, Williams, Ekeler and Henry (who missed 4 weeks due to injury). Joey Bosa and Melvin Ingram must keep their eyes on Mahomes at all times as he’s squirrely and can run and since he’s stated that he feels like he felt in week 1, he’s not hampered by the sprained ankle or the knee.

Take the Chiefs to win but the Chargers to cover in the over, Chiefs 31-27.

Don’t forget, Colin Cowherd took the Chargers in his Blazin’ 5.


NFL Week 11: Sunday Games Picks, Predictions & Colin Cowherd’s Blazin’ 5

Atlanta Falcons @ Carolina Panthers, Bank of America Stadium, 1:00 PM (Panthers -3.5, O/U: 48.5)
Take the Panthers to cover in the over, Panthers 27-23.

Buffalo Bills @ Miami Dolphins, Hard Rock Stadium, 1:00 PM (Dolphins +7.5, O/U: 41.5)
Take the Dolphins to cover in the loss, in the under, Bills 20-17.

Dallas Cowboys @ Detroit Lions, Ford Field, 1:00 PM (Lions +7.5, O/U: 46.5)
Take the Cowboys to cover in the under, Cowboys 28-17

Denver Broncos @ Minnesota Vikings, U.S. Bank Stadium, 1:00 PM (Vikings -9.5, O/U: 40.5)
Take the Vikings to cover in the over, Vikings 31-17.

Houston Texans @ Baltimore Ravens, M&T Bank Stadium, 1:00 PM (Ravens -4.5, O/U: 51.5)
Take the Texans to cover in the loss, in the over, Ravens 31-30.

Jacksonville Jaguars @ Indianapolis Colts, Lucas Oil Stadium, 1:00 PM (Colts -2.5, O/U: 42.5)
Take the Colts to cover in the under, Colts 21-17.

New Orleans Saints @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Raymond James Stadium, 1:00 PM (Buccs +5.5, O/U: 50.5)
Take the Saints to cover in the over, Saints 31-24.

New York Jets @ Washington Redskins, FedEx Field, 1:00 PM (Redskins -2.5, O/U: 37.5)
Take the Jets to cover in the under, Jets 21-14.

Arizona Cardinals @ San Francisco 49ers, Levi’s Stadium, 4:05 PM (49ers -9.5, O/U: 44.5)
Take the Cardinals to cover in the loss, in the over, 49ers 31-24.

Cincinnati Bengals @ Oakland Raiders, Oakland Coliseum, 4:25 PM (Raiders -12.5, O/U: 48.5)
Take the Raiders to cover in the over, Raiders 28-13.

New England Patriots @ Philadelphia Eagles, Lincoln Financial Field, 4:25 PM (Eagles +4.5, O/U: 45.5)
Take the Patriots to cover in the over, Patriots 28-20.

Chicago Bears @ Los Angeles Rams, Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum, 8:20 PM, NBC (Rams -6.5, O/U: 40.5)
Take the Rams to cover in the over, Rams 27-20.

Colin Cowherd’s Blazin’ 5:
• Houston at Baltimore – Houston (+4)
• Denver at Minnesota – Denver (+10.5)
• NY Jets at Washington – NY Jets (+2)
• Arizona at San Francisco – Arizona (+10)
• Kansas City at LA Chargers – LA Chargers (+4)

NFL Week 11: Thursday Night Football

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Cleveland Browns, FirstEnergy Stadium, 8:20 PM, FOX/NFLN (Browns -3, O/U: 41.5)
The Steelers defense has come alive with Minkah Fitzpatrick has been explosive since coming on from Miami. He’s helped force 8 of the teams 26 turnovers since the trade and last week had a fumble return for 43 yards and a TD last week as well as a 96 yard pick 6 two weeks ago. For the Steelers, that’s an excellent trade giving up a first round pick which has a high bust rate probability for a “for sure” stud safety. The defense under him has found life as they have the league’s third most sacks in the league and second in the league in takeaways. They can barely get by with the offense they have, Mason Rudolph is capable and Conner can grind out a solid game.
Baker has been exactly what the Browns don’t need, a distraction but they won last week, in an upset fashion over a tough Bills team. Kareem Hunt made his debut and looked half decent carrying the ball 4 time for 30 yards along with 7 catches for 44 yards. He limited looks but made the most of them. The defense hasn’t matched up to what they look like on paper. They have given up a ton of points and a ton of rushing yards. Landry and OBJ looked good last week so hopefully Baker can continue the little bit of momentum they have.
Take the Steelers to cover and win in the under, Steelers 21-17.