NFL Week 10: Monday Night Football Pick & Prediction

Seattle Seahawks @ San Francisco 49ers, Levi’s Stadium, 8:15 PM, ESPN (49ers -6, O/U: 46.5)

Russell Wilson will continue his road to the Super Bowl amidst an MVP race while having the Seahawks in prime position to take over the NFC West with a win against the 49ers tonight. Wilson has been the main reason this team is still 7-2 with his abilities to create more time for broken plays and his pinpoint accuracy when scrambling despite being a half a foot or more shorter than most all of the linemen on the field directly in front of him. He boasts a ridiculous 68% completions while only throwing 1 pick for the 22 TD’s he has under his belt to pair with his 2,505 yards. Locket has been his top and clear favorite receiver who has 59 catches for 767 yards and 6 TD’s. Rookie stud DK Metcalf has been a real surprise being second on the team in receiving (29 catches, 525 yards and 5 TD’s). The offense has a running game that can help exploit defenses again as Chris Carson has piled up 764 yards on 175 carries while also adding 3 scores. Every game has seemed like a shootout though given that the defense isn’t what it used to be even with Bobby Wagner leading the way.

Jimmy G is coming into this one missing his top receiver George Kittle as he is listed out for his knee injury that made him leave last Thursday’s game early before returning noticeably in pain. The 49ers will rely on rookie Deebo Samuel and Marquise Goodwin to absorb the targets given to Kittle in spite of the fact that their combined season targets (48) still don’t add up to the 57 Kittle saw. The 49ers will more than likely turn the offensive focus to the run game that helped them early on in the season with the 3 headed monster of Breida/Coleman/Mostert. Breida leads the tandem with 99 carries for 524 yards but Coleman leads in rushing scores with 5 and Mostert leads them all in average yards per rush (5.58). Combined they have rushed the ball 237 time for 1,186 yards (5 yards per carry) and 7 TD’s. The defense has been the turnaround story of the year as they only generated 2 interceptions all of 2018 and this year they have a combined 10 interceptions with 2 of them being returned for TD’s. Nick Bosa has been a monster, providing an outside rush similar to his brothers and the best in the league, recording 7 sacks and a forced fumble.

This will be an excellent game to watch as we see a back-alley brawl between the top 2 NFC West teams. The difference maker is Kittle not being available for this one and the fact that Wilson and the Seahawks travel very well and have proven themselves big time road warriors over the years. Take the Seahawks to cover and win outright in the under, Seahawks 24-20.


NFL Week 5: Thursday Night Football Pick & Prediction

Los Angeles Rams @ Seattle Seahawks, CenturyLink Field, 8:20 PM, FOX/NFLN (Seahawks -1.5, O/U: 49.5)

The talk of the town has been how the Rams might have the super bowl hangover.  Goff is 6 TD’s to 6 picks and only just passed for 300+ yards just last week in a shootout with the Buccs of all teams.  Goff finished with 517 yards and threw 68 passes mainly because Todd Gurley has been in a massive decline.  Gurley has steadily declined in yards each of the first 4 games of the season and only carried the ball 5 times due to lack of effectiveness and because they were behind big early.  Goff has had trouble in his career against the Seahawks, averaging less than 200 yards and averaging 1 TD and 1 pick in 6 meetings.  but the defense has kept them in all of their games as they’ve recovered 3 fumbles, picked 4 passes and added 10 sacks.

What can I say about Russell Wilson?  Everyone wrote this team off before the season and after nearly losing to the Bengals in week one but Wilson has protected the ball and made this offense work with a bunch of no name guys and rookies.  Completing 73% of his passes with 8 TD’s and zero picks while still pushing the ball down the field averaging 9.8 yards per attempt/11.8 yards per completion. has lead the team to a 3-1 start.  Russell doesn’t usually throw for a ton of yards because they do like to use the power run game and he likes to scramble a bit so his averages in 14 games doesn’t really matter but the record does.  He’s 2-4 against Goff and 6-8 overall against the Rams.  The defense has also been a turnover machine with 2 picks (including Jadeveon Clowney’s pick 6) and 7, yes count them, 7 fumble recoveries.  They’ve been average everywhere else on pass and rush yards allowed.  Keep an eye on rookie standout D.K. Metcalf who has 10 catches for 223 yards and a TD.  He’s only averaging about 5 targets per game but only had 1 catch for 6 yards last week.  They may need to air it out more than usual and he’s a big time deep threat.

Expect the Seahawks to defend the 12th man better than their previous 2 home games.  Take the Seahawks to win in the over, Seahawks 27-24.

Week 14: Monday Night Football

Minnesota vs Seattle (Seahawks -3, O/U: 46)

The Vikings have been seesawing the last handful of weeks winning, losing, winning, losing. They have had success when they’ve had a pass rush and more importantly failures when they couldn’t get to the quarterback. They also haven’t been able to stay up with top competitive teams in the league like the Bears, Patriots and Saints. Don’t let that win in Green Bay fool you, it’s a great win in Lambeau but against a defense that isn’t great and an offense lacking punch.

The Seahawks have been on fire with a 3 game winning streak despite having lost to the Rams twice, Chargers and Bears. The two differences are they were closer games and they’ve won the “easier” games. Another difference is the play calling. The Seahawks run the ball more as Wilson averages less than 250 yards per game but in his last 4 games he has 11 TDs to 0 picks. Their defense has quietly been climbing the ladder to bring a top 10 defense as well, allowing the league’s 9th best in scoring (21.6 points).

Take the Seahawks to cover in the over, Seahawks 28-24.

Week 2: Monday Night Football

Seattle at Chicago, 8:15 PM, ESPN, Chargers -3.5, O/U: 43)

West coast teams rarely to the east coast and do well, however, that only shows in 1pm games.  It’s Monday night football and these two teams are going to fight tooth and nail to not go 0-2 to start the season.  Wilson has done well on the road and traveling east as he’s thrown for at least two touchdowns in his last six road games.  He’s missing some weapons but was still productive last week after their departure and lack of protection from his line.

The Bears got off to a hot start against the Packers last week, forcing Rodgers out of the game midway through the second only to completely flutter in the second half after having a 20-0 lead going into the half.  Mack showed extremely productive early on and terrorized young quarterback, Kizer, who was filling in for Rodgers.  The Packer offensive line turned it around and Rodgers came out and torched the Bears defense for over 270+ yards.  Trubisky looked to be held back as he did most of last year and only ended up with just over 170 yards passing.

As the line stands now, Seahawks are getting +4.5.  You should absolutely take the Seahawks to cover and win (barely) in the under as both defenses will have the spotlight on them.  Seahawks 21-20.

Good luck and as always, #beatyourbookie

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