NFL Week 4: Sunday Games

Buffalo at Green Bay, 1:00 PM, CBS (Packers -9.5, O/U: 44)

Last week Josh Allen was determined to show that he has what it takes to play now and the kid put on his big boy jock on and took the Vikings defense to the woodshed.  Hurdling defenders, strip sacking, the Bills were on fire early and caught the Vikes off guard and the Vikes were left in shock for the remainder of the game.  The Big surprise not only was the offense but the defense stopped the Vikes offense hthat has a ton of weapons and a big time quarterback.

The Packers are coming off a tough loss to the Redskins in DC last week and having a strong first two weeks.  Rodgers was still effective on the rain soaked field but having Aaron Jones back was a great sight since the Packers struggled mightily in the running game for the first few weeks.

It’s tough to win on the road, especially in the house of one of the best teams in the NFL.  Asking a rookie to do it in back to back weeks is also a tough ask, but mind you, Shady McCoy is expected to play.  Take the Packers to cover in the win and in the over, Packers 30-17.

Cincinnati at Atlanta, 1:00 PM, CBS (Falcons -3.5, O/U: 53)

The Bengals got knocked off the undefeated list last week in Carolina.  It still ended up being fairly close despite the 4 turnovers (4 INT’s by Dalton) they committed which lead to 17 Panthers points.  They didn’t seem to miss Mixon all that much as Bernard stepped up nicely and contributed a rushing score.

The Falcons have had a hard time on defense holding offenses to under 450 yards.  Despite that, the offense is firing on all cylinders including new weapon, rookie Calvin Ridley.  As the Bengals are without their star running back, the Falcons’ Freeman is doubtful for this game as well but Coleman is capable.

Take the Bengals to cover in the loss and in the over, Falcons 31-28.

Detroit at Dallas, 1:00 PM, FOX (Cowboys -3, O/U: 44)

The Lions and Patricia, who looked absolutely abysmal in week one with their hat on backwards, have flipped the hat around to the front and have progressively gotten better each of the last two weeks.  Last week was a huge test as Patricia went up against mentor Belicheck.  They have been more and more effective on offense as they started to find their stride with a solid 1-2 punch in the backfield between Johnson and Blount.

The Cowboys offense has looked like it hit a brick wall and have been riding Elliott on each of his runs.  Dak has no big time receivers, no one who can make a play on the perimeter and being that he’s a B quarterback at best, he doesn’t do well when he has to try and make something happen with his arm if his receivers aren’t getting open or dropping balls.  The defense has been the strongest part of the team but that doesn’t help much when your offense can’t score.

Strange to see the Cowboys as three point favorites given that their offense can’t score.  Take the Lions to cover and win in the under, Lions 24-17.

Houston at Indianapolis, 1:00 PM, CBS (Colts -1, O/U: 47.5)

Watson has yet to flash any resemblance of his handful of games from last year.  The defense has been good but not productive enough with 3 takeaways but none in the last two games.  They’re stuck at 0-3 even with all of those weapons for Watson to throw to.

The Colts have yet to find any consistency in their ground game and after seeing Luck pulled for the hail marry, there’s cause for concern.  Luck has been strong however, despite not having much zip on the deeper throws.  He’s been able to orchestrate decent drives, and has 5-3 TD-INT ratio.  By the way, the Colts’ defense has been sneaky good!

The line opened up at -3 Colts and has worked itself down to -1.  I can only imagine that it’s due to people still holding on hope for Watson to return to his play from last year.  Not happening.  Take the Colts to win in the cover, also in the under, Colts 24-20.

Miami at New England, 1:00 PM, CBS (Patriots -7, O/U: 49)

Miami’s defense has been pretty good and Brady doesn’t have any weapons outside of Gronk in the passing game.  Take the Fins to cover in the loss and in the under, Patriots 24-21.

N.Y. Jets at Jacksonville, 1:00 PM, FOX (Jags -7.5, O/U: 39.5)

Great defenses usually tee off on rookie quarterbacks.  Darnold seems to hold on to the ball too long for fear of throwing a pick or making a bad decision with the ball.  Take the Jags to win and cover in the under, Jags 21-10.

Philadelphia at Tennessee, 1:00 PM, FOX (Titans +3.5, O/U: 41)

A beat up Mariota goes against a great defense and tough secondary.  Take the Eagles to cover in the win and in the over, Eagles 27-21.

Tampa Bay at Chicago, 1:00 PM, FOX (Bears -3, O/U: 46)

Trubisky is good during the scripted portion of the games (starts of the game and beginning of the 2nd half).  Other than that, Mitch-a-oploza isn’t effective.  Take the Buccs to beat Mitch-a-poloza, cover and in the over.  Buccs 27-23.

Cleveland at Oakland, 4:05 PM, FOX (Raiders -3, O/U: 45)

Raiders are the best winless teams out there and have to get off the snide.  Take the Raiders in a covering win, in the under, Raiders 21-17.

Seattle at Arizona, 4:05 PM, FOX (Cardinals +3.5, O/U: 40)

Take the Seahawks to cover and win, in the under, Seahawks 20-17.

New Orleans at N.Y. Giants, 4:25 PM, CBS (Giants +3.5, O/U: 52.5)

Saints score a ton and give up a ton, also are bad on the road with no pass rush.  Take the Giants to win and cover in the over, Giants 31-27.

San Francisco at L.A. Chargers, 4:25 PM, CBS (Chargers -10.5, O/U: 46)

No Garapolo, no McKinnon, the 49ers are toast.  Take the Chargers to win and cover convincingly in the over, Chargers 35-17.

Baltimore at Pittsburgh, 8:20 PM, NBC (Steelers -3, O/U: 51)

This might as well be a pickem, doesn’t matter the stadium and fans in the stands because these games are usually pretty close.  Steelers are the most penalized team so far through week 3 and are on pace to be the most penalized team ever.  Take the very disciplined Ravens to cover in the loss but in the under, Steelers 20-19.

#beatyourbookie

Colin Cowherd’s Blazing 5:

o    Houston at Indianapolis – Indianapolis (-1)

o    Seattle at Arizona – Arizona (+3)

o    Cleveland at Oakland – Oakland (-2.5)

o    New Orleans at NY Giants – NY Giants (+3.5)

o    Baltimore at Pittsburgh – Baltimore (+3)

Week 4: Thursday Night Football

Minnesota at L.A. Rams, 8:20p, NFLN (Rams -7, O/U: 49.5)

This past Sunday, The Vikes got absolutely embarrassed at home by rookie Josh Allen. I mean, he literally leapt over their best linebacker with ease. The Bills took the opening kickoff and then drove the field 75 yards to a touchdown. Kirk Cousins didn’t help his teams cause or confidence by having 2 sacks fumbles that lead to 10 more points and a Bills 17-0 lead after the first. A good team being embarrassed one week basically means that they get revenge the next however it will be very tough to do so when going on the road against one of the best defenses and one of the best offenses in the league.

The Rams are on fire this year, picking up right where they left off from last year. Granted, they started off with a few softballs with the Raiders and Cardinals but had a bit of a test against a team that’s been a better road team than a home team, in the Chargers. The Rams ultimately beat them and covered the spread. Goff and his numerous weapons have gelled well with McVay’s playbook and they don’t seem to show any signs of slowing down, averaging 34 points/game on offense and only 12/game on defense.

Short week, big spread to cover but the Bills defense isn’t nearly as good as the Vikings and you see how they played in Minnesota last week. Expect the Rams to learn from what they saw Sunday and pressure Cousins all night. Take the Rams to cover in the win, in the over, Rams 31-21.

Week 3: Monday Night Football

Pittsburgh at Tamp Bay, 8:15pm, ESPN, (Buccs -1.5, O/U: 55)

The Steelers are in somewhat of a tailspin at the moment.  Bell still holding out and now the Steelers announce this past weekend that they’re listening to trade inquiries and Brown staging a mini coup, are facing an 0-3 start.  They have looked good on offense, which you should expect with the young talent around Big Ben, but the one time strength of this team, their defense, has looked very mediocre.  Tying Cleveland and blew a two touchdown lead in the 4th quarter against the Chiefs and the Mighty Mahomes, they’re looking to bounce back and right the ship against a red hot Buccs team.

The Buccs obviously didn’t think their season would start 2-0 with Fitz-Noodle-Arm turning into Fitz-Magic, who’s looking to become the first quarterback in league history to start a season with over 400 yards in each of his first three games.  Desean Jackson is looking like the D-Jax of old and Mike Evans is actually getting decent balls thrown his way which has given him the ability to make plays like he did in college and early on in his career.

The difference maker in this one will be which defense holds up against the others offense.  The Buccs front eight have been like a bull in a china shop. Vita Vea will likely be making his rookie debut joining his teammates in battle, making them even more vicious.  This Buccs team look like the Eagles team from last year, running around, making huge plays, scoring a ton and just plain old having fun, man!  It’ll be close but take the Buccs to continue to elevate The Beard and continue Fitz-Magic’s McGregor like swagger, wining and covering in the over, Buccs 31-28.

Ride the Buccs, finishing the week on your way to #beatyourbookie.

Week 3: Sunday Games

Buffalo at Minnesota, 1:00 PM, CBS (Vikings -17, O/U: 41)

The Bills are now being regarded to as the worst team in the league and Sunday, and they will be playing one of the leagues best defenses in their house.  From the sounds of it, McCoy will likely be out with sa cracked rib and also might be missing their young star defensive end, Shaq Lawson with a hamstring injury.  Also missing in the lineup will be Vontae Davis, who at halftime last week, retired and left the stadium well before the game was over.

The Vikings are coming off a disappointing tie with their division rivals and if it weren’t for a rookie kicker missing a few field goals, they’d be 2-0.  The spread is absolutely massive at 17 and really isn’t seen this huge at this level.  I can’t imagine Allen fairing well on the road against this defense if McCoy is out.  Take the Vikings to pressure the rookie and cover in the win and the over, Vikings 34-14.

Cincinnati at Carolina, 1:00 PM, CBS (Panthers -3, O/U: 44)

The Bengals come in as an undefeated after a tough matchup against the Ravens.  Dalton has looked very good especially with Mixon elevating his game as their starting back.  One problem coming into this week, Mixon is our for a few weeks after some minor knee surgery.  Bernard is probable but he’s not an every down back.  So with Dalton having the offense all to himself, will he continue to fee Green touchdowns (3 last week to Green), or will they struggle as Dalton will have the ball in his hands more than normal?

The Panthers are starting to settle into a nice rhythm with the Norv Turner offense.  Cam is completing nearly 70% of his passes and that’s even after losing star tight end Olsen with more foot trouble.  McCaffrey looks beastier and is running harder than he ever has.  The Panthers look like they have the pieces and offensive consistency from their 13-3 super bowl run season.  The one question, which hasn’t really been a question in the past, is their defense.  They have one of the best defenses in the league on paper but haven’t been able to stop teams from scoring, and especially having some redzone trouble.  Either way, I like the Panthers to cover in the win, in the over, Panthers 28-21.

Denver at Baltimore, 1:00 PM, CBS (Ravens -5, O/U: 45.5)

The Broncos have seen a start unlike they’ve seen since Peyton was in town.  Keenum was held out of some practices this week with a banged up knee but has looked good enough this season but 4 picks to 3 touchdowns hurts this offense if that trend continues.  The surprise has been undrafted rookie back Phillip Lindsay.  Last week he became the first undrafted running back to hit 100+ yards from the line of scrimmage in his first two games.  Being 2-0 and with confidence, they have to head east for a 1pm game that will feel like an 11am game, which could be a disadvantage, especially for a banged up Keenum.

Flacco has been very consistent knowing that Lamar Jackson is being worked into plays and wants that starting role.  Flacco has thrown for over 600 yards with a 64% completion percentage.  All while not really having many standout stud receivers.  The backfield has been a platoon mostly consisting of a 1-2 punch of Javarious Allen and Alex Collins.  While Allen has the touchdowns, Collins has been the more consistent and productive back and should see his workload increase in the coming weeks.  With both defenses solid against the run game, go with the better experienced quarterback and coach in this one, who would be the home team.  Take the Ravens to cover and win in the under, Ravens 24-17.

Green Bay at Washington, 1:00 PM, FOX (Redskins +3, O/U: 45.5)

A bum legged Rodgers still was good enough to nearly beat the Vikings at home.  Rodgers is without a stellar line nor a semblance of a running game but was still able to move the ball from the pocket.

The Redskins ended their home sellout streak and could barely fill the joint.  They also ended up losing to the Colts in a poor effort in which they lost another running back in Rob Kelly.  The Redkins did add some receiver help with veterans Perriman and Floyd.  It won’t help though, Rodgers had an extra weeks worth of rest and treatment for his knee and has to face a less powerful defense.  Yes, I’m going homer pick, take the Packers to cover in the in and in the over, Packers 34-30.

Indianapolis at Philadelphia, 1:00 PM, FOX (Eagles -7, O/U: 46.5)

The Colts are coming off a big win on the road in Washington but came out banged up and possibly without some players.  It seems we can expect Hilton to be in the lineup but that may not be the case for Marlon Mack which could severely hurt their offense.  Luck has looked strong in both of his first starts in a few years and shockingly, has had time to move the ball.

The Eagles get their man back from his big knee injury and just in time too.  The Eagles have looked mediocre in their first couple of games.  Don’t expect Wentz to single handedly blow out the Colts but expect them to put some decent points up.  The Eagles win this one but the Colts cover in the over, Eagles 24-21.

New Orleans at Atlanta, 1:00 PM, FOX (Falcons -3, O/U: 53.5)

The Saints haven’t looked worse to start a season.  They haven’t gotten their ground game going in the absence of Ingram.  Kamara isn’t an every down and Sean Payton loves to use him in the passing game out of the backfield, so this has been a start that is an uncomfortable one for them.

The Falcons are still trying to find themselves in the redzone.  They finally scored some redzone touchdowns in last weeks game but it was Matty Ice’s legs that got 2 of them.  I still expect the Falcons to win and cover in the over, Falcons 34-28.

N.Y. Giants at Houston, 1:00 PM, FOX (Texans -6, O/U: 42.5)

The Giants looked like a dysfunctional family the last few week.  Saquan Barkley hasn’t had a whole lot of room to run in between the tackles and Manning has been pressured during most drop backs.  Manning still has weapons if his line can keep him upright.  Granted they were up against a tough Dallas defensive front.

Desaun Watson hasn’t looked like the Watson of last year.  Completing just under 60% of his passes, but had a much better week 2.  The Houston defense is where the lag has really been.  Watt and Clowney have had little impact in the first two weeks, they will have to wake up and take advantage of an offensive line of the Giants that has been taken advantage of in their first two weeks.  The Giants look like they have a long way to go to get the line working right and coach O’Brien will get Watson back to form and the Watt/Clowney duo will eat this line up but that spread is way too big at this point.  Take the Giants to cover in the loss, in the over, Texans 27-24.

Oakland at Miami, 1:00 PM, CBS (Dolphins -3, O/U: 44.5)

The Raiders have had a hard time getting going under new coach Gruden but improved on the road in Denver last week, which is tough to play on the road early in the season.  Carr went an unreal 29/32 for 288 yards.  He’s complete 80% of his throws this year while hitting an array of different receivers but hit his favorite target, Cook a bunch early on.  The defense has struggled to get pressure on the quarterback after getting rid of Mack but improved last week on points allowed however, allowed an undrafted rookie running back to gain over 100 yards rushing.

The Dolphins have gotten off to one of their best starts in the last few decades, leading the AFC East heading into this week.  Tannehill has also kept a high completion percentage through the first two weeks, at 72.5% while Drake and Gore have been a solid 1-2 punch from the backfield.  The defense will get its first decent test of the fresh season though.  Take the Raiders to come in and get their first win covering the spread and scoring in the under, Raiders 24-20.

San Francisco at Kansas City, 1:00 PM, FOX (Chiefs -7, O/U: 55.5)

The 49ers come into this expected shootout after coming out of one against of Detroit last week.  Garapolo however, like Watson, hasn’t really replicated the magic from last year, throwing 3 touchdowns but also 3 picks while just barely completing over 50% of his passes.  After losing McKinnon, Breida was next man up and has done very well, averaging 8.3 yards per carry.  The big question is, will Goodwin play?

Mahomes has had a huge start to the year, 10 touchdowns and 0 picks with nearly 600 yards passing.  The rushing game barely has time to get going due to the big bombs their quarterback throws to the speedy Tyreek Hill who has 12 grabs for 259 yards and 3 scores.  This offense is high powered but their defense can’t keep up, allowing 28 and 37 points in back to back weeks.  Don’t be too alarmed about the defense though, it usually pretty hard to keep teams from scoring when you’re put back on the field that many times and so quickly.  Expect another shootout but I think Garapolo, without as many weapons, gets out of the gate slower, and the Chiefs take advantage, covering in the win, in the over, Chiefs 34-28.

Tennessee at Jacksonville, 1:00 PM, CBS (Jaguars -10, O/U: 39.5)

Tennesse had to dig deep in the playbook to pull out a win last week as they didn’t have Mariota behind center, and lead by backup Gabbert.  A gutsy fake put pass was a huge difference maker for them, getting on the board early and first in a slow moving game.  This offense is nothing special, unfortunately and even more so with Mariota questionable today.

The Jaguars Came out firing last week in a redemption game against the Patriots and beat Bill and Tom in their house as home dogs!  Bortles was on fire and the real question is, can he keep it up with his young team of receivers.  No Fournette still but Yeldon looked good enough to get it done.  Obviously the defense will be out for blood with this lackluster offense.  Take the Jaguars to cover in the win, in the under, Jaguars 24-10.

L.A. Chargers at L.A. Rams, 4:05 PM, CBS (Rams -7, O/U: 48)

Dating back to last season, the Chargers have played batter on the road than at home and they proved that last week, beating up the bills so badly that at the half, one of their players on defense retired.  Rivers has been absolutely money, 57/78, 680 yards, 6 touchdowns and just 1 pick.  He’s had a ton of weapons to throw to and is really making the most of his time on the field.  Their defense, although young and inexperienced, has been hanging tough and will face another tough challenge this week.

The Rams started where they left off last year but with a tremendous new deep weapon in Cooks who has 12 grabs for 246 yards but has yet to score.  Gurley with his 3 rushing touchdowns, is helping this team average 33.5 points per game this year.  This is a tough call as it’s the first battle of the LA teams but take the Rams to cover in the win, in the over, Rams 28-21.

Chicago at Arizona, 4:25 PM, FOX (Cardinals +5.5, O/U: 38.5)

Trubisky has been ok this year however, you still get the sense that he is kind of held back in their playbook.  Regardless, Mack has been a beast for their defense and you can tell he really has elevated everyone else on every play and his stats show how good he really is.

The Cardinals are still at the starting gate.  With all of the rookies starting under center or making their ways into games, when do they pull the plug on Bradford and get Rosen in there?  After all, he was touted as being the most NFL ready quarterback in the draft but finds himself the last one to see any game action out of all of the first round quarterbacks.  6 points through two weeks is highly unacceptable.  The only way the Cards have a shot in this one is if Rosen comes in early.  The Bears go hunting on the road in this one, with a blowout win in the under, Bears 27-10.

Dallas at Seattle, 4:25 PM, FOX (Seahawks -1.5, O/U: 41)

Dallas picked up the slack they left after week one, in week two.  Dak hasn’t had a strong beginning of the season but Zeke has made up for the lack of passing.  Dallas’ defense though has been stellar with Lawrence and Charlton looking nasty up front and now look very dangerous if they can get their offense going.

The Seahawks are having issues galore.  Earl Thomas was having a sit in all week with the team, the offensive line not holding for Wilson.  They need to get something together soon. The only thing helping them is being back at home for their first home game.  Dallas puts together a good push on the road, take them to cover in a tough road win in the under, Cowboys 20-17.

New England at Detroit, 8:20 PM, NBC (Lions +7, O/U: 54)

Mentor versus mentoree.  The Patriots are back on the road after being road favorites in Jacksonville last week and losing a tough rematch against them.  Expect Brady and Belichick to put together a counter gameplan to Patricia’s defensive schemes.  Brady has been good as usual, using Gronk as much as possible but their running game hasn’t found their number one guy in the backfield yet.

Stafford has been all over the place.  He’s had huge throws and big plays but has been forcing a bunch of balls in where they shouldn’t be going.  He still has 3 really good threats that can scream downfield and be big deep threats but now also have rookie Kerryon Johnson in the backfield averaging over 4.5 yards per carry on his 13 rushes.  Look for Johnson to be more of a factor, controlling tempo of the game to try and keep this one close.  Brady and the Patriots get the better of the Lions however, covering in the under, Patriots 31-21.

Good luck, happy betting on the way to #beatyourbookie.

Colin Cowherd’s Blazing 5:

  • Cincinnati at Carolina – Cincinnati (+3)
  • NY Giants at Houston – NY Giants (+6)
  • Indianapolis at Philadelphia – Indianapolis (+6.5)
  • Green Bay at Washington – Washington (+3)
  • Dallas at Seattle – Seattle (-1.5)

Week 3: Thursday Night Football

Last week was horrible for yours truly.  One of my worst weeks since picking winners.  This week, we will right the ship.  We have a toughie to kick off this week so lets get to it.

New York at Cleveland, 8:20p, NFLN (Browns -3, O/U: 41)

New York comes into this matchup being brought back down to earth last week by the Dolphins, following their Rookie quarterbacks huge first win in his first game in Detroit in week one.  Sam Darnold looked more like a rookie last week but with more picks than touchdowns however he still had poise and threw for over 300 yards despite the turnovers and lack of running game.

The Browns are still looking for their first win and they can just taste it.  No, they’re not salivating at the thought of the beer lockers being slung open if they win, they literally tasted a victory.  The Browns entered the fourth quarter holding a 12-3 lead giving up 15 unanswered points before Tyrod Taylor launched the ball to the back of the end zone and Antonio Callaway making a huge grab to tie the game at 18, with a pending extra point.  The Browns, rarely in this position to take the lead late in the fourth quarter, ended up missing the extra point which would’ve given them a 19-18 lead.  They’re tired of losing, tired of coming up just short and a hungry in front of their fans, but keep in mind, it’s still the Browns.

The line is surprising given the Browns usually finding ways to lose games and they’re rarely favorites.  The moneyline scares me a bit with the Jets getting +150 and the Browns getting -170 but I’m still rolling with the safe bet, taking the Jets to cover and win in the under, Jets 21-17.

I feel for you Brownies, I want you to win (just not this week) but like a friend has perfectly put it, until you show me you can win, I will bet against you.  Happy Thursday football night, good betting and don’t forget to #beatyourbookie.

Week 2: Monday Night Football

Seattle at Chicago, 8:15 PM, ESPN, Chargers -3.5, O/U: 43)

West coast teams rarely to the east coast and do well, however, that only shows in 1pm games.  It’s Monday night football and these two teams are going to fight tooth and nail to not go 0-2 to start the season.  Wilson has done well on the road and traveling east as he’s thrown for at least two touchdowns in his last six road games.  He’s missing some weapons but was still productive last week after their departure and lack of protection from his line.

The Bears got off to a hot start against the Packers last week, forcing Rodgers out of the game midway through the second only to completely flutter in the second half after having a 20-0 lead going into the half.  Mack showed extremely productive early on and terrorized young quarterback, Kizer, who was filling in for Rodgers.  The Packer offensive line turned it around and Rodgers came out and torched the Bears defense for over 270+ yards.  Trubisky looked to be held back as he did most of last year and only ended up with just over 170 yards passing.

As the line stands now, Seahawks are getting +4.5.  You should absolutely take the Seahawks to cover and win (barely) in the under as both defenses will have the spotlight on them.  Seahawks 21-20.

Good luck and as always, #beatyourbookie

Week 2: Sunday Games

The Ravens got off to a rough start against the Bengals which put us in the hole to start the week. I still stand by that bet because on the stat sheet, the Ravens lead in a ton of categories however, it was the turnovers that killed them and that usually the motto on turnovers right? Anyways, look forward to some interesting picks this week and a few extra underdog picks than normal.

Carolina at Atlanta, 1:00 PM, FOX (Falcons -6, O/U: 44)

Atlanta Is back home after a long wait in between games however, it’s the same old redzone trouble ridden team. Atlanta is also without stars Neal and Freeman. Kuechly is a bit banged up but will start but Olsen is out for weeks yet again. Until the Falcons can prove that they can be more efficient in the redzone, I’m probably going to pick whoever is against them. Take the Panthers to win on the under, Panthers 23-20.

Cleveland at New Orleans, 1:00 PM, FOX (Saints -9.5, O/U: 49.5)

BRowns are without Gordon as they are trying to trade him due to messing up his hammy during a non-team approved photo shoot. It’s an unfortunate end to an era and a huge weapon gone form the offense that nearly pulled off their first win since Money Manziel’s days. The Saints are out for retribution from last week after their embarrassing loss against the Buccs. Look for the defense to step up and respond. Take the Saints in the under to cover in the win, Saints 31-14.

Houston at Tennessee, 1:00 PM, CBS (Titans +3, O/U: 43)

Mariota still can’t full feel his fingers yet from last weeks injury and Houston defense will be after him. Desean Watson didn’t look like he did last year before his injury however, he hadn’t played in nearly a year so maybe there was some rust being knocked off. Look for the Texans to cover with a win against a banged up Mariota in the under, Texans 21-17.

Indianapolis at Washington, 1:00 PM, CBS (Redskins -6, O/U: 48.5)

AP looked good in hi debut for the Redskins as did Alex Smith. Smith likes hitting his tight ends and shockingly, Jordan Reed is still active after an NFL game. Luck looked even better than anyone thought after having two years off with his shoulder. The difference maker was Luck’s offensive line, it looked improved and motivated to protect their franchise guy. After last week, I’m shocked Luck is getting that many points so take the Colts to keep it close and cover but in a loss in the over, Redskins 27-24.

Kansas City at Pittsburgh, 1:00 PM, CBS (Steelers -5, O/U: 53.5)

Mahones looked exceptional as I predicted he would in LA against the Chargers. Hill had an unreal game and surprisingly we saw a split in the workload between Hunt and a now healthy Ware, where they both had similar production. Mahomes has a rocketball that he can fit into almost any other hole but I still will hold back on being excited about him until I see more of a sample size. The Steelers are coming off a tie against the Browns where they had tons of turnovers and looked very undisciplined. Roethlisberger turned the ball over 5 times last week so it’s a miracle that they still came away with a tie. Bell or not, they have a rising star in Conner who played very well minus a fumble. The Steelers usually excel in games after a tough, sloppy game the week before. Look for the Steelers to cover in a win and in the over, Steelers 35-27.

L.A. Chargers at Buffalo, 1:00 PM, CBS (Bills+7.5, O/U: 43)

Take the Chargers to bounce back on the road to win in the over, Chargers 31-21.

Miami at N.Y. Jets, 1:00 PM, (Jets -3, O/U: 43)

Take the Jets to continue the legend of Sam Darnold to win in the over, Jets win in the under, Jets 21-17.

Minnesota at Green Bay, 1:00 PM, FOX (Packers +3, O/U: 45)

Rodgers is back and wants revenge. Packers home dogs? Packers upset the Vikes in the over, Packers 28-27.

Philadelphia at Tampa Bay, 1:00 PM, FOX (Buccs +3.5, O/U: 45)

Take the Eagles to win in the under, Eagles 27-10.

Arizona at L.A. Rams, 4:05 PM, FOX (Rams -13.5, O/U: 44.5)

Take the Rams to win in the over, Rams 38-17.

Detroit at San Francisco, 4:05 PM, FOX (49ers -6, O/U: 48.5)

Take the 49ers to cover in the win and take the under, 49ers 27-17.

Oakland at Denver, 4:25 PM, CBS (Broncos -6.5, O/U 46)

No one plays well in Denver early in the season. Take the Broncos to win in the under, Broncos 24-17.

New England at Jacksonville, 4:25 PM, CBS (Jags +1.5, O/U: 44)

Like Colin Cowherd said, this is the Jags super bowl. Typically you don’t want to bet against Belichick but the Jags D is hungry. Take the home dog Jags to win in the under, Jags 21-20.

N.Y. Giants at Dallas, 8:20 PM, NBC (Cowboys -3, O/U: 42.5)

Dallas is in disarray and Dak has no weapons to throw to. Take the Giants to cover in the win and score in the under, Giants 24-17.

That’s Sunday’s predictions. Bet a little extra this week on Rodgers and Luck, they’re extra motivated for their games and always, #beatyoubookie

Colin Cowherd’s Blazing 5:

  • Carolina at Atlanta – Atlanta (-5.5)
  • Kansas City at Pittsburgh – Pittsburgh (-4.5)
  • Indianapolis at Washington – Indianapolis (+6)
  • New England at Jacksonville – Jacksonville (+1)
  • Seattle at Chicago – Seattle (+3.5)