Week 15: Thursday Night Football

Los Angeles Chargers vs. Kansas City Chiefs (Chiefs -3.5, O/U: 54.5)

The Chargers are putting Melvin Gordon on the game day watch to see if he’ll suit up or miss another game.  If Gordon can’t go, Eckler will once again fill in.  Rivers played masterfully in the first meeting this year between the teams, at home but still lost by 4.  His play has evolved over the last 14 weeks and he’s taken care of the ball this year (29 td’s and only 6 int’s).  Rivers and Keenan Allen have connected on big scoring plays the last 5 weeks and have really been hitting their strides.  Lets not forget their defense, who is also hitting a stride in their own right.

The Chiefs have had back to back weeks of close games but wins.  Since Hunt was released, they’ve had to rely on numerous backs to fill in, one being former future back of the team, Spencer Ware but will be without him tonight due to a neck strain and concussion from last week.  A new addition to the Chiefs will be on the sidelines as they signed the newly released Kelvin Benjamin.  He will suit up tonight but as we can imagine, will be limited in his role even with Tyreek Hill dealing with an injured foot.  Let’s also not forget how reckless Mahomes has been the last few weeks with his passes, he’s been great but he’s also thrown a few picks that weren’t the best of decisions.

What may make up your mind are the numbers you see here:

Chargers ATS: 7-6, Road ATS: 5-1

Chiefs ATS: 8-4-1, Home ATS: 3-3

This will be a battle all night long.  The Chargers are an unbelievable road team and the Chiefs can still score 30 without Hunt but both will be fighting for the AFC West and a top seed in the playoffs, so I would expect Gordon to play such an important game.  In the end, it will come down to who’s running game will keep the opponents offense off the field in the 4th quarter?  Take the Chargers to cover in the upset win, in the over, Chargers 31-28.

#beatyourbookie

Week 14: Monday Night Football

Minnesota vs Seattle (Seahawks -3, O/U: 46)

The Vikings have been seesawing the last handful of weeks winning, losing, winning, losing. They have had success when they’ve had a pass rush and more importantly failures when they couldn’t get to the quarterback. They also haven’t been able to stay up with top competitive teams in the league like the Bears, Patriots and Saints. Don’t let that win in Green Bay fool you, it’s a great win in Lambeau but against a defense that isn’t great and an offense lacking punch.

The Seahawks have been on fire with a 3 game winning streak despite having lost to the Rams twice, Chargers and Bears. The two differences are they were closer games and they’ve won the “easier” games. Another difference is the play calling. The Seahawks run the ball more as Wilson averages less than 250 yards per game but in his last 4 games he has 11 TDs to 0 picks. Their defense has quietly been climbing the ladder to bring a top 10 defense as well, allowing the league’s 9th best in scoring (21.6 points).

Take the Seahawks to cover in the over, Seahawks 28-24.

Week 14: Sunday Games

Atlanta at Green Bay, 1:00p, FOX (Packers -4.5, O/U: 51)

The Packers had enough of the McCarthy era and have fired him, which is rare for the Packers to do during the middle of the season, after an embarrassing loss to the Cardinals at home last week. The Falcons seem to be naturally bad on the road, not to mention last weeks disappearance of Julio Jones, and the Packers have always seemed automatic at home. With the embarrassing lose last week, they’ll be out to make the Falcons look like fools. Take the Packers to cover in the over, Packers 31-26.

Baltimore at Kansas City, 1:00p, CBS (Chiefs -7, O/U: 51)
Lamar Jackson has been a surprise to just about everyone in the NFL except for Lamar Jackson. while he’s been iffy throwing the ball, he’s already crept up to Alex Collins’ 411 with 404 of his own. Since the Chiefs defense gives up some of the most yards and points in the league, they will have their hands full with Jackson. Last week was the first week without Hun for the Chiefs and they did okay. They needed 4 players to scrape together 175 yards on the ground and the game was still tight against the Raiders. Granted it was on the road but the Chiefs have been virtually a lock to cover against poor teams. Last week gives me hesitation against a pretty good defense in Baltimore. Take the Ravens to cover in the loss, in the over, Chiefs 31-27.

Carolina at Cleveland, 1:00p, FOX (Browns +1, O/U: 47.5)

The Panthers have been their usual self on the road this year and Baker is starting to hit a nice stride, building confidence. Take the Panthers to cover in the under, Panthers 24-21.

Indianapolis at Houston, 1:00p, CBS (Texans -4.5, O/U: 50)

Take the Texans to cover in the over, Texans 31-24.

New England at Miami, 1:00p, CBS (Dolphins +8, O/U: 48.5)

Take the Dolphins to cover in the over, Dolphins 27-24.

New Orleans at Tampa Bay, 1:00p, FOX (Buccs +10, O/U: 54.5)

The Saints have been on a tear all season and have lucked out without having major injuries to deal with. The difference between this Saints team than in years past is that they are playing well on the road. The Buccs have been one of those teams where you don’t know what you’re getting from week to week. Winston has looked good lately, minus all of his turnovers, but they’ve stayed in some close games. Expect much of the same. Take the Buccs to cover in the loss, in the over, Saints 36-28.

N.Y. Giants at Washington, 1:00p, FOX (Redskins +3, O/U: 40)

The Redskins are on their 3rd quarterback of the season and Mark Sanchez has only been with the team for a couple of weeks. His backup hasn’t played a meaningful down in years, Josh Johnson. I’m shocked they’re only a 3 point underdog. Take the Giants in the under, Giants 21-13.

N.Y. Jets at Buffalo, 1:00p, CBS (Bills -4, O/U: 37.5)

Take the Bills to cover in the over, Bills 28-20.

Cincinnati at L.A. Chargers, 4:05p, CBS (Chargers -15, O/U: 48.5)

Take the Chargers to cover in the under, Chargers 35-10.

Denver at San Francisco, 4:05p, CBS (49ers +3.5, O/U: 45)

Take the Broncos to cover in the over, Broncos 27-21.

Detroit at Arizona, 4:25p, FOX (Cardinals +3, O/U: 40)

Take the Lions to cover in the over, Lions 24-17.

Philadelphia at Dallas, 4:25p, FOX (Cowboys -3.5, O/U: 45.5)

Take the Cowboys to cover in the over, Cowboys 31-27.

Pittsburgh at Oakland, 4:25p, FOX (Raiders +10, O/U: 51)

Take the Steelers to cover in the over, Steelers 36-24.

L.A. Rams at Chicago, 8:20p, NBC (Bears +3, O/U: 51)

Take the Rams to cover in the over, Rams 31-27.

Colin Cowherd’s Blazin 5:

  • New England at Miami – Miami (+7.5)
  • Atlanta at Green Bay – Green Bay (-4.5)
  • Denver at San Francisco – San Francisco (+5)
  • Philadelphia at Dallas – Philadelphia (+3.5)
  • LA Rams at Chicago – Chicago (+3)

Week 14: Thursday Night Football

Jacksonville at Tennessee (Titans -5.5, O/U: 37.5)

Totally forgot today was Thursday, true story. Take the Titans to cover in the under, Titans 17-10.

#beatyourbookie

Week 13: Monday Night Football

Washington @ Philadelphia, 8:20p, ESPN (Eagles -6, O/U: 45)

In Colt Mccoy’s first start of the season, replacing the injured Alex Smith, he kept the Redskins in the Thanksgiving game against the Cowboys despite not having much of a supporting cast from the backfield and throwing 3 interceptions. Considering the lack of weapons to throw to, he managed to complete 63% of his passes with 2 touchdowns all while having to rely mostly on his tight ends for the bulk of the targets. McCoy isn’t known for having a deep ball so having Davis and Reed as his crutch is pretty helpful. Peterson has his ups and downs and last week was a tough matchup for the old back as the youngblood defenders of the Cowboys didn’t give him anything to work with. He’ll need to take the ball outside of the Eagles box to take advantage of a young and inexperienced secondary to get those chunk yards we’re used to seeing from him over the last decade.

The Eagles might’ve found a diamond in the rough with rookie running back Josh Adams who had a great performance (22 rushes for 84 yards and 1 TD). They’ve been looking for a consistent back to pair with Wentz to take some of the workload off of his shoulders. He’s proved that he can win and win big games but he still doesn’t look like last year’s Wentz. He’s only had 4 of his 9 games end with over 300 yards passing and still hasn’t clicked with newcomer Golden Tate. Despite this he still has a TD/INT ratio of nearly 3:1 (16/6). With Darren Sproles set to make a return along with Michael Bennett, has last week’s close call win walken them up for the tough stretch of games to close out the season and maybe make the playoffs(Redskins, Cowboys, Rams, Texans, Redskins)?

Take the Eagles to cover in the over, Eagles 27-20.

#beatyourbookie

Week 13: Sunday Games

Denver at Cincinnati, 1:00p, CBS (Bengals +4.5, O/U: 44.5)

Take the Broncos to cover in the over, Broncos 27-21.

Arizona at Green Bay, 1:00p, FOX (Packers -14, O/U: 40.5)

Take the Packers to cover in the over, Packers 34-17.

Baltimore at Atlanta, 1:00p, CBS (Falcons -3, O/U: 47.5)

Take the Falcons to cover in the under, Falcons 27-20.

Buffalo at Miami, 1:00p, CBS (Dolphins -3.5, O/U: 40)

Take the Bills to cover in the win, in the over, Bills 24-20.

Carolina at Tampa Bay, 1:00p, FOX (Buccs +3.5, O/U: 52.5)

Take the Panthers to cover in the over, Panthers 31-24.

Chicago at N.Y. Giants, 1:00p, FOX (Giants +4, O/U: 43.5)

Take the Bears to cover in the under, Bears 24-17.

Cleveland at Houston, 1:00p, CBS (Texans -6, O/U: 47.5)

Take the Texans to cover in the over, Texans 31-24.

Indianapolis at Jacksonville, 1:00p, CBS (Jaguars +4.5, O/U: 46)

Take the Colts to cover in the win, in the under, Colts 27-17.

L.A. Rams at Detroit, 1:00p, FOX (Lions +10, O/U: 54)

Take the Rams to cover in the over, Rams 36-20.

Kansas City at Oakland, 4:05p, CBS (Raiders +14, O/U: 53.5)

Take the Chiefs to cover in the over, Chiefs 35-20.

N.Y. Jets at Tennessee, 4:05p, CBS (Titans -10, O/U: 40.5)

Take the Titans to cover in the under, Titans 21-10.

Minnesota at New England, 4:25p, FOX (Patriots -5, O/U: 49)

Take the Vikings to cover in the loss, in the over, Patriots 31-27.

San Francisco at Seattle, 4:25p, NBC (Seahawks -10, O/U: 45.5)

Take the Seahawks to cover in the under, Seahawks 28-17.

L.A. Chargers at Pittsburgh, 8:20p, CBS (Steelers -3, O/U: 52.5)

Take the Chargers to cover in the win, in the over, Chargers 31-28.

Colin Cowherd’s Blazin 5:

  • Baltimore at Atlanta – Atlanta (-1)
  • Cleveland at Houston – Houston (-6)
  • Indianapolis at Jacksonville – Indianapolis (-4)
  • Chicago at NY Giants – NY Giants (+4.5)
  • Minnesota at New England – Minnesota (+5)

Week 13: Thursday Night Football

New Orleans at Dallas, 8:20p, NFLN (Cowboys +8, O/U: 52.5)

New Orleans comes in with the league’s best offense, averaging 37.2 points per game. They’ve also only turned the ball over 9 times, tied for the league lead. Michael Thomas has 86 catches already and Kamara has been hot all year, especially the last 6 games where he has 9 touchdowns! The Saints also lead the league in rushing defense which is more than likely from teams being forced to throw more given how quick the Saints go up early in games, which has caused the pass defense to be 30th worst in the league. The rush defense will be tested tonight.

The Cowboys have really turned it up lately since Amari Cooper has come aboard eventhough he’s really only been involved in the offense starting last week on Thanksgiving with an 8 catch, 180 yards and 2 touchdown performance, looking like the first rounder he was supposed to be. Garrett will have to strategize against the Saints and do his best to keep the Saints high powered offense off the field. That means utilizing the league’s leading rusher, Zeke (1,074 rushing yards). But when the ‘Boys defense is on the field, they’ll need Lawrence to continue his wrath of the last 4 games where he’s snagged 3 of his 8.5 sacks on the season. Question is, can the Cowboys newly found 3 headed monster keep up with the Medusa (multiple weapons) offensive threat of the Saints?

Take the Saints to cover on the road in the over, Saints 36-24.

#beatyourbookie