Week 14: Monday Night Football

Minnesota vs Seattle (Seahawks -3, O/U: 46)

The Vikings have been seesawing the last handful of weeks winning, losing, winning, losing. They have had success when they’ve had a pass rush and more importantly failures when they couldn’t get to the quarterback. They also haven’t been able to stay up with top competitive teams in the league like the Bears, Patriots and Saints. Don’t let that win in Green Bay fool you, it’s a great win in Lambeau but against a defense that isn’t great and an offense lacking punch.

The Seahawks have been on fire with a 3 game winning streak despite having lost to the Rams twice, Chargers and Bears. The two differences are they were closer games and they’ve won the “easier” games. Another difference is the play calling. The Seahawks run the ball more as Wilson averages less than 250 yards per game but in his last 4 games he has 11 TDs to 0 picks. Their defense has quietly been climbing the ladder to bring a top 10 defense as well, allowing the league’s 9th best in scoring (21.6 points).

Take the Seahawks to cover in the over, Seahawks 28-24.

Week 14: Thursday Night Football

Jacksonville at Tennessee (Titans -5.5, O/U: 37.5)

Totally forgot today was Thursday, true story. Take the Titans to cover in the under, Titans 17-10.

#beatyourbookie

Week 13: Monday Night Football

Washington @ Philadelphia, 8:20p, ESPN (Eagles -6, O/U: 45)

In Colt Mccoy’s first start of the season, replacing the injured Alex Smith, he kept the Redskins in the Thanksgiving game against the Cowboys despite not having much of a supporting cast from the backfield and throwing 3 interceptions. Considering the lack of weapons to throw to, he managed to complete 63% of his passes with 2 touchdowns all while having to rely mostly on his tight ends for the bulk of the targets. McCoy isn’t known for having a deep ball so having Davis and Reed as his crutch is pretty helpful. Peterson has his ups and downs and last week was a tough matchup for the old back as the youngblood defenders of the Cowboys didn’t give him anything to work with. He’ll need to take the ball outside of the Eagles box to take advantage of a young and inexperienced secondary to get those chunk yards we’re used to seeing from him over the last decade.

The Eagles might’ve found a diamond in the rough with rookie running back Josh Adams who had a great performance (22 rushes for 84 yards and 1 TD). They’ve been looking for a consistent back to pair with Wentz to take some of the workload off of his shoulders. He’s proved that he can win and win big games but he still doesn’t look like last year’s Wentz. He’s only had 4 of his 9 games end with over 300 yards passing and still hasn’t clicked with newcomer Golden Tate. Despite this he still has a TD/INT ratio of nearly 3:1 (16/6). With Darren Sproles set to make a return along with Michael Bennett, has last week’s close call win walken them up for the tough stretch of games to close out the season and maybe make the playoffs(Redskins, Cowboys, Rams, Texans, Redskins)?

Take the Eagles to cover in the over, Eagles 27-20.

#beatyourbookie

Week 13: Sunday Games

Denver at Cincinnati, 1:00p, CBS (Bengals +4.5, O/U: 44.5)

Take the Broncos to cover in the over, Broncos 27-21.

Arizona at Green Bay, 1:00p, FOX (Packers -14, O/U: 40.5)

Take the Packers to cover in the over, Packers 34-17.

Baltimore at Atlanta, 1:00p, CBS (Falcons -3, O/U: 47.5)

Take the Falcons to cover in the under, Falcons 27-20.

Buffalo at Miami, 1:00p, CBS (Dolphins -3.5, O/U: 40)

Take the Bills to cover in the win, in the over, Bills 24-20.

Carolina at Tampa Bay, 1:00p, FOX (Buccs +3.5, O/U: 52.5)

Take the Panthers to cover in the over, Panthers 31-24.

Chicago at N.Y. Giants, 1:00p, FOX (Giants +4, O/U: 43.5)

Take the Bears to cover in the under, Bears 24-17.

Cleveland at Houston, 1:00p, CBS (Texans -6, O/U: 47.5)

Take the Texans to cover in the over, Texans 31-24.

Indianapolis at Jacksonville, 1:00p, CBS (Jaguars +4.5, O/U: 46)

Take the Colts to cover in the win, in the under, Colts 27-17.

L.A. Rams at Detroit, 1:00p, FOX (Lions +10, O/U: 54)

Take the Rams to cover in the over, Rams 36-20.

Kansas City at Oakland, 4:05p, CBS (Raiders +14, O/U: 53.5)

Take the Chiefs to cover in the over, Chiefs 35-20.

N.Y. Jets at Tennessee, 4:05p, CBS (Titans -10, O/U: 40.5)

Take the Titans to cover in the under, Titans 21-10.

Minnesota at New England, 4:25p, FOX (Patriots -5, O/U: 49)

Take the Vikings to cover in the loss, in the over, Patriots 31-27.

San Francisco at Seattle, 4:25p, NBC (Seahawks -10, O/U: 45.5)

Take the Seahawks to cover in the under, Seahawks 28-17.

L.A. Chargers at Pittsburgh, 8:20p, CBS (Steelers -3, O/U: 52.5)

Take the Chargers to cover in the win, in the over, Chargers 31-28.

Colin Cowherd’s Blazin 5:

  • Baltimore at Atlanta – Atlanta (-1)
  • Cleveland at Houston – Houston (-6)
  • Indianapolis at Jacksonville – Indianapolis (-4)
  • Chicago at NY Giants – NY Giants (+4.5)
  • Minnesota at New England – Minnesota (+5)

Week 13: Thursday Night Football

New Orleans at Dallas, 8:20p, NFLN (Cowboys +8, O/U: 52.5)

New Orleans comes in with the league’s best offense, averaging 37.2 points per game. They’ve also only turned the ball over 9 times, tied for the league lead. Michael Thomas has 86 catches already and Kamara has been hot all year, especially the last 6 games where he has 9 touchdowns! The Saints also lead the league in rushing defense which is more than likely from teams being forced to throw more given how quick the Saints go up early in games, which has caused the pass defense to be 30th worst in the league. The rush defense will be tested tonight.

The Cowboys have really turned it up lately since Amari Cooper has come aboard eventhough he’s really only been involved in the offense starting last week on Thanksgiving with an 8 catch, 180 yards and 2 touchdown performance, looking like the first rounder he was supposed to be. Garrett will have to strategize against the Saints and do his best to keep the Saints high powered offense off the field. That means utilizing the league’s leading rusher, Zeke (1,074 rushing yards). But when the ‘Boys defense is on the field, they’ll need Lawrence to continue his wrath of the last 4 games where he’s snagged 3 of his 8.5 sacks on the season. Question is, can the Cowboys newly found 3 headed monster keep up with the Medusa (multiple weapons) offensive threat of the Saints?

Take the Saints to cover on the road in the over, Saints 36-24.

#beatyourbookie

Week 12: Sunday Games

Cleveland at Cincinnati, 1:00p, CBS (Bengals -1, O/U: 47)

Browns haven’t strung together wins in a long time. Huge win last week against the Falcons, used up a ton of energy and emotion to pull off. Bengals head a bad loss at home against the Saints but hung in there on the road against division rival Ravens. Take the Bengals to cover in the over, Bengals 31-20.

Jacksonville at Buffalo, 1:00p, CBS (Bills +3, O/U: 37)

Sacksonville will have their hands full with Allen back for the Bill’s (it’s legit this time, I actually checked before writing this). Fournette has been a difference maker for the offense and they don’t have to rely on Bortles. As I mentioned, welcome back Allen but what a tough defense to face in your first game back. It’ll be similar to the Jags at Colts earlier this season, back and forth until the end. Take the Jaguars to cover in the over, Jags 28-24.

New England at N.Y. Jets, 1:00p, CBS (Jets +13, O/U: 46.5)

Patriots were only 9.5 point favorites before Gronk was listed as active. I don’t think he’s worth that much of a swing. Jets are coming off of a bye but they looked ugly before it and I don’t think there’s much they can improve in with just more prep time, they need players on offense. Take the Patriots to cover in the under, Patriots 31-17.

N.Y. Giants at Philadelphia, 1:00p, FOX (Eagles -5, O/U:50)

The Giants offense is looking good as of late. Eli is completing a bunch of his passes and they’re having fun, big key. The Eagles had another key secondary injury which amounts to about a handful of starters on defense being out. Don’t get me wrong, the Eagles can still be effective on offense. Take the Giants to cover in the loss, in the over, Eagles 27-24.

Oakland at Baltimore, 1:00p, CBS (Ravens -13, O/U: 42)

I really don’t like this number on the Ravens but the Raiders are so inefficient in offense and have had close games only against bad teams. Jackson is exciting and is facing the league’s 31st worst defense against the run. Take the Ravens to cover in the under, Ravens 27-13.

Seattle at Carolina, 1:00p, FOX (Panthers -3, O/U: 47)

The Seahawks have been giving teams fits in the road the last bunch of road games but the Panthers play awesome at home and Cam has been dialed in at home, high completion percentage. Take the Panthers to cover in the over, Panthers 31-24.

San Francisco at Tampa Bay, 1:00p, FOX (Buccs -2, O/U: 54.5)

49ers can score but lose former first rounder Foster at linebacker due to domestic violence issues. Buccs have all the yards but no scores, expect that to change today. Take the Buccs to cover in the under, Buccs 28-20.

Arizona at L.A. Chargers, 4:05p, FOX (Chargers -14, O/U: 43.5)

Cards are horrific on offense, they can move it between the rookie hookup (Rosen/Kirk) but they haven’t done much outside of them. Johnson finally has started seeing some consistency. The Charges don’t play as well at home as on the road (broken record) but it’s the Cards. Take the Chargers to cover in the over, Chargers 36-17.

Pittsburgh at Denver, 4:25p, CBS (Broncos +3, O/U: 47.5)

It’s cold, they’re throwing salt down on the stands for the fans but the Steelers are a tough team and also play in the cold. The better run game wins here. Take the Broncos to cover in the loss, in the under, Steelers 21-20.

Miami at Indianapolis, 4:25p, CBS (Colts -9, O/U: 52)

Colts spank the Dolphins. Not much else to say, Colts look legit. Take the Colts to cover in the over, Colts 36-20.

Green Bay at Minnesota, 8:20p, NBC (Vikings -3, O/U: 48)

Both teams had close, though losses last week against surging teams. The Vikings didn’t look themselves on offense but Rodgers looked really good. Difference maker will be the quarterback play. Take the Packers to cover in the win, in the over, Packers 31-27.

Colin Cowherd’s Blazin 5:

  • Chicago at Detroit – Detroit (+3.5)
  • Seattle at Carolina – Carolina (-3.5)
  • Cleveland at Cincinnati – Cleveland (+3)
  • NY Giants at Philadelphia – Philadelphia (-6)
  • Green Bay at Minnesota – Green Bay (+3.5)

#beatyourbookie

Week 12: Thanksgiving Games

Chicago at Detroit, 12:30p, CBS (Lions +3, O/U: 43.5)

The Lions have been hard to watch most of the season and in weeks 9 & 10 they allowed open hunting on Stafford. Last week was a different story and with Marvin Jones out, second year guy Kenny Galladay stepped up big time. He’ll have to do so again today as Jones is trending to be out again.

For the Bears, last week was a huge victory against a Vikings team coming off a bye. Mitch-a-polooza looked a bit shakey but got the job done however Chase Daniel will get the start this week with Mitch out with an injury. Hicks and Mack both had sacks last week and given how this line looked just a few weeks ago, they’ll have some early dessert on the field early at Matt Staffords expense. Take the Bears to cover in the over, Bears 24-20.

Washington at Dallas, 4:30p, FOX (Cowboys -7, O/U: 41)

Poor Alex Smith didn’t have history on his side last Sunday as he broke his leg on the same day as Joe Theismann did 33 years ago. Colt McCoy came in and nearly brought the team back against a strong Texans team. Peterson might have a tougher time finding the endzone today given how the ‘Boys defense has been playing lately.

The Cowboys have put together huge back to back wins against the former champs (Eagles) and a high powered offense (Falcons). Climbing out of the NFC East basement has been tough and Garett has had his job threatened by the fan base all season long (last 4 years really), but since the Cooper trade, there seems to be a shift in confidence now. Let’s not forget the emerging star on defense, Leighton Vander Esch whose had an interception each of the last two weeks. I think 7 points is too much though given how well McCoy played. Take the Redskins to cover in the loss, in the over, Cowboys 27-21.

Atlanta at New Orleans, 8:20p, NBC (Saints -13, O/U: 60.5)

Two highly talented offenses will meet in the Superdome for an expectedly high scoring game. Three weeks ago, the Falcons finally found a way to get Julio Jones in the endzone and he’s done so each of the last three weeks however they’ve lost to the Browns and Cowboys the last two weeks. Only getting to the redzone once and not scoring won’t help turn the ship around. Ryan doesn’t turn the ball over much and has been efficient with a 4:1 td/int ratio. Expect that to continue.

The Saints have been on fire all season long. After a week one loss, they’ve rattled off nine straight wins and not many have been all that close and against teams like the Vikings, Rams and the Falcons earlier this season. Brees and his 25 touchdowns to 1 pick, he’s having about as perfect of a season as one can. Michael Thomas is in pace for about 130 catches and about 180 yards and 14 touchdowns. The Falcons don’t escape this one. Take the Saints in the over, Saints 42-27.

#beatyourbookie