Category: sports betting

New York Giants @ Atlanta Falcons, 8:20p, ESPN (Falcons -4.5, O/U: 52.5)

The Giants come into this road contest with the 23rd best offense and the 15th best defense.  One of the reasons their defense is ranked so high is because of their defensive secondary.  They come in ranked 12th only allowing 236 yards through the air.  Points wise, they are abysmal.  The Giants have allowed on average 27 points each game but in the last 3 of those games (2 of which were at home), the Giants have averaged just over 33 points/game and against some potent offenses.  Eli Manning hasn’t been the greatest, the offensive line has been choppy at best but when OBJ has gotten the ball, he’s been effective but only has 1 touchdown.  Barkley has been the only consistent shinning light, rushing for 438 yards, averaging over 5 yards per carry with 4 touchdowns and catching 40 balls for 373 yards and another 2 scores.

The Falcons have been out to prove everyone that they can score in the red zone and they’ve been much improved compared to last year but poor Julio Jones has all of the catches and yards and has yet to catch a single touchdown pass.  Instead rookie wideout Calvin Ridley, has been second on the team in catches along with Mohamed Sanu.  Ridley barely leads Sanu in yards but leads the whole team in touchdowns, with 6.  The Falcons however have had the same troubles on defense as previous years and one of the eye sores is the rush defense (121 yards allowed) and also allowing a ton of points (averaging 32 points allowed per game), which is part of the reason they’re 2-4.

They may give up some big chunk plays to Barkley and a couple of scores but look for the Falcons to cover the spread in a closer than it should be win, in the over, Falcons 31-24.

#beatyourbookie

Tennessee at L.A. Chargers, 9:30a, CBS (Chargers -7, O/U: 45)

No one has done better away from home than the Chargers. Playing in a soccer stadium in LA that you can’t fill prepares you for something like this. I guarantee you that there will be more Chargers fans in Wembly than all season so far at home in LA. Take the Chargers to win, covering in the over, Chargers 28-20.

Buffalo at Indianapolis, 1:00p, CBS (Colts -7, O/U: 43)

The colts have improved from last year but Josh Allen can ball! Take the Colts to win but the Bills cover in the loss, in the under, Colts 24-18.

Carolina at Philadelphia, 1:00p, FOX (Eagles -5, O/U: 45)

The Panthers have a strong offense with emerging rookies/young guys, however, their defense still hasn’t answered the call on big games. The Eagles and Wentz have started to hit their stride. Wentz off to an fantastic start (8 picks to 1 interception) but they will have a hard time running against this defense. Take the Eagles to take advantage amongst the Panthers (once) touch team win in the over, Eagles 34-28.

Cleveland at Tampa Bay, 1:00p, FOX (Buccs -3.5, O/U: 52.5)

Nick Chubb named the guy in the backfield, is averaging 10.8 yards per carry on 16 carries. Look for Chubb top double his yearly total on carries with minimum of 20. Baker has been sitting at about 55% completion should have a field day against a Tampa Bay defense that allows 9 yards per play attempt. Winston had a strong game last week in a close loss to a solid Falcons team. Look for Winston to be effective moving the ball but this defense loves causing turnovers so also expect him to throw some picks. Take the Browns to steal one and cover in the over, Browns 34-28.

Detroit at Miami, 1:00p, FOX (Dolphins +3, O/U: 46.5)

Osweiler leading the Fins? No wonder they went out and got Gore. The Lions aren’t usually the greatest on the road but Stafford has one of the best receiving tandems in the league. Take the Lions to cover in a win, in the under, Lions 27-17.

Houston at Jacksonville, 1:00p, CBS (Jags -4, O/U: 41.5)

It’s the battle of the defenses. Bortles plays better at home. The Watt/Clowney duo should pressure Bortles into some hurried throws, possibly some turnovers. Take the Jags to win but the Texans to cover in the under, Jags 21-20.

Minnesota at N.Y. Jets, 1:00p, FOX (Jets +3, O/U: 46)

A young rookie completing just under 60% of his throws all season, 9 touchdowns to 7 interceptions, all I need to know. Take the Vikings to cover in the under, Vikings 28-14.

New England at Chicago, 1:00p, CBS (Bears +3, O/U: 43)

Brady was just in a shootout with a hot young gun in Mahomes now has to figure out if he’ll survive against one of, if not, the best pass rusher today, Khalil Mack. No Gronk for the Pats makes this game a tough call. Take the Bears to cover in a win, in the over, Bears 27-24.

New Orleans at Baltimore, 4:05p, FOX (Ravens -3, O/U: 49)

The Saints are typically a different team on the road however there are too many weapons to account for and Brees has been money all year, 11 touchdowns to zero interceptions. The Ravens offense has done well and the Saints do give up yardage. Take the Saints to cover in a convincing win, in the over, Saints 31-24.

Dallas at Washington, 4:25p, CBS (Redskins +1, O/U: 41.5)

Both teams haven’t really had that wow factor that allows them to rise to the top of the division. The standout between the two has been Elliott but even his games haven’t been consistent. I’m going to give this one to the better defense. Take the Cowboys to win and cover in the over, Cowboys 31-24.

L.A. Rams at San Francisco, 4:25p, NBC (49ers +10, O/U: 52)

The Rams may be without Kupp but they still have the weapons to get it done. It’s not going to be a normal road game given the distance so expect the Rams to play well. Beathard has done a phenomenal job in Jimmy G’s absence but only has a few weapons he’s comfortable with in Kittle and Goodwin. The Rams defensive front will be all over Beathard forcing him into throws he hasn’t been making lately. Take the Rams to cover in the over, Rams 35-20.

Cincinnati at Kansas City, 8:20p, CBS (Chiefs -6, O/U: 58)

Mahomes has been on fire all season long and solidified himself as a legit threat and top contender lead his team to a super bowl appearance. No brainer, Chiefs cover big at home in the over, Chiefs 42-28.

Colin Cowherd’s Blazin 5:

• Buffalo at Indianapolis – Indianapolis (-7.5)
• Carolina at Philadelphia – Carolina (+4.5)
• New Orleans at Baltimore – Baltimore (-2.5)
• Dallas at Washington – Washington (-1.5)
• NY Giants at Atlanta – NY Giants (+5.5)

#beatyourbookie

Denver at Arizona, 8:20p, NFLN (Cardinals +1.5, O/U: 42.5)

Coming off a week in which they hung in there with the powerful Vikings, Josh Rosen had a strong game going 21/31 for 240 yards and a pick.  The Chosen Rosen has started to develop a report with fellow rookie Christian Kirk as he’s been his top target since Rosen took the starting job from Sam Bradford.  Rosen has looked better each week and seems to be settling into a more comfortable state with each game he plays.  There are many question heading into the game for both sides but for the Cardinals, is David Johnson going to break out this game against the leagues worst rush defense?

The Broncos have their own set of struggles that they’re working through as I mentioned with the leagues worst rush defense.  They are getting to quarterbacks however with Miller snagging 5.5 sacks and rookie Chubb earning 4.5 himself.  The rushing game which started off on fire in their first two weeks (which were wins) has cooled quickly to basically non-existent as of last week.  They’ve had success through the air (7 touchdowns) however, tossing 8 picks has essentially soured the move to bring Case Keenum on board as “their guy”.

Take the Cardinals to be the true home dogs and steal a win covering in the over, Cardinals 24-21.

#beatyourbookie

San Francisco at Green Bay, 8:15p, ESPN (Packers -9.5, O/U: 46.5)

Rodgers and the Packers have had a rough, up and down start where he’s been dealing with a nagging knee injury since the first half of the first game of the year and his receivers have been dropping like flies the last few weeks.  Luckily there’s a bye week next week which means they can go extra hard on primetime tonight to get the job done and to silence the doubters or at least quiet them for a bit, heading into the middle of the season.  Even while dealing with the knee injury, Rodgers has been his same old productive self (63% completion, 1,500+ yards, 10 touchdowns and only 1 interception).

Aaron Jones has been very effective since coming back, rushing 24 times for 147, averaging 6+ yards per rush and a score.  That has been over the last 3 games, so look for the Packers to get him integrated into the gameplan early to set up the pass game.  Green Bay’s defense needs a big boost heading into the bye week and they certainly have the opportunity to have a big game against a CJ Beathard  led 9ers.

Beathard who has shown flashes of great play has a 1:1 touchdown to interception rate, completing 63% of his passes and was 2 yards shy in his first start of the year from having back to back 300+ yard games.  The weapons he has around him while having Shanahan as his coach is the 9ers saving grace while Jimmy Garaoppolo lounges the rest of the season while rehabbing his season ending knee injury.  Breida has picked up the slack at running back with McKinnon out for the season, also a season ending knee injury, carrying the ball 49 times for 369 yards, averaging 7.5 yards per carry and scoring a solo touchdown.

The 49ers defense has also given up a ton of points and has rarely kept them in games.  Compared to the Packers, the 49ers give up more yards on defense and pickup less yards on offense.  Process of elimination says the Packers at home are destined to have a great game.

Take Rodgers and his Packers to use whatever receivers he needs to, to cover in the win and in the over, Packers 36-24.

#beatyourbookie

Philadelphia at N.Y. Giants, 8:20 PM, NFLN (Giants +1.5, O/U: 44.5)

The Eagles have looked like the typical super bowl hangover team. Slow start, injuries, player turnover that affects the teams overall play. The latest injury hurts their running game, losing Ajayi for the rest of the year. Granted, he had just under 200 yards of offense but averaged over 4 yards per carry. There has been speculation that there might be a trade with the Steelers for Bell but late in the week there were reports that the Bills were called about a possible trade for McCoy. Neither came to fruition and the Eagles are stuck platooning Clement and Smallwood, who have the combined ability to get the job done. Either way, the Eagles are in a funk and Pederson needs to right the ship, which he could possibly do against a weary Giants team.

The Giants are coming off a tough loss on the road to the Panthers that saw a nearly scare when Barkley hyperextended his knee a bit after jumping into the endzone for a score. It was a game which lead with a weird interview that OBJ gave with Lil’ Wayne by his side and essentially said Manning is not a good QB anymore and he doesn’t see as many targets as other star receivers and that he needs more looks. Well, they made him the QB on a play and he tosses a huge 57 yard score to Barkley. How’s that for drama?
This one will come down to motivation. Who has the most motivation to turn their season around? Both offensive lines have been sketchy. Both QB’s have seen a ton of pressure the last few weeks.

The Eagles have more to lose since they are 2-3 and not in as big of a hole as the Giants. Take the Eagles to steal one on the road, Eagles win and cover in the over, Eagles 31-27.

#beatyourbookie

Washington vs New Orleans, 8:15p, ESPN (Saints -6, O/U: 52)

With the Redskins coming off of a bye week, they’re staring at a long haul until the end of the season, with 13 straight weeks of football until playoffs.  During that week off they had time to prepare for a tough road game against a high powered offense that gets one of the other half of their running back duo, Mark Ingram.

Ingram is back to give the Saints a much needed boost in the running game, one that Kamara made a valiant effort to be effective in with over 600 yards from scrimmage in the first 4 games, gaining steam in the last few weeks on the ground.  Speaking of the ground game, Adrian Peterson has been a bit of a savior for the Redskins once Darrius Guice, avoiding having to soley rely on Thompson who is used heavily in the passing game.  Peterson out to prove to everyone who passed on his services, that a back over 30 can still produce, averaging 4.21 yards per carry with 3 scores, not to mention he has 5 catches for 100 yards!

Drew Brees will also have some motivation for a big game tonight, 500 career touchdown passes could be the milestone he passes tonight.

Given that Josh Doctson is inactive look for the Redskins to have trouble in the passing game and then keeping up with the Saints.  Take the Saints to cover and win in the over, Saints 35-24.

#beatyourbookie

Miami at Cincinnati, 1:00p, CBS (Bengals -6, O/U: 47.5)

Take the Bengals to cover in the win, in the under, Bengals 27-20.

Atlanta at Pittsburgh, 1:00p, FOX (Steelers -3, O/U: 57)

Take the Falcons to cover in the win and in the under, Falcons 28-24.

Baltimore at Cleveland, 1:00p, CBS (Browns +3, O/U: 45)

Take the Browns to cover in the loss, in the over, Ravens 24-23.

Denver at N.Y. Jets, 1:00p, CBS (Jets +1, O/U: 42.5)

Take the Jets to cover in the win, in the over, Jets 24-20.

Green Bay at Detroit, 1:00p, FOX (Even, O/U: 50)

Take the Packers to win the pickem (or even if you get them at +1), in the over, Packers 31-28.

Jacksonville at Kansas City, 1:00p, CBS (Chiefs -3, O/U: 48)

Take the Chiefs to cover in the win, in the over, Chiefs 28-24.

N.Y. Giants at Carolina, 1:00p, FOX (Panthers -7, O/U: 44)

Take the Giants to cover in the loss, in the over, Panthers 24-21.

Tennessee at Buffalo, 1:00p, CBS (Bills +6, O/U: 38.5)

Take the Bills to cover in the win, in the over, Bills 27-20.

Oakland at L.A. Chargers, 4:05p, CBS (Chargers -5, O/U: 52)

Take the Raiders to cover in the win, in the under, Raiders 28-21.

Arizona at San Francisco, 4:25p, FOX (49ers -3, O/U: 40.5)

Take the Cardinals to cover in the win, in the over, Cardinals 24-21.

L.A. Rams at Seattle, 4:25p, FOX (Seahawks +7.5, O/U: 51)

Take the Rams to cover in the win, in the over, Rams 35-24.

Minnesota at Philadelphia, 4:25p, FOX (Eagles -3, O/U: 48)

Take the Eagles to cover in the win, in the under, Eagles 24-17.

Dallas at Houston, 8:20p, NBC (Texans -3, O/U: 45.5)

Take the Cowboys to cover in the win, in the over, Cowboys 28-20.

Colin Cowherd’s Blazing 5:

• Denver at NY Jets – NY Jets (-1.5)
• Oakland at LA Chargers – Oakland (+5.5)
• Minnesota at Philadelphia – Minnesota (+3)
• Arizona at San Francisco – Arizona (+5.5)
• Washington at New Orleans – Washington (+6.5)

#beatyourbookie

Buffalo at Green Bay, 1:00 PM, CBS (Packers -9.5, O/U: 44)

Last week Josh Allen was determined to show that he has what it takes to play now and the kid put on his big boy jock on and took the Vikings defense to the woodshed.  Hurdling defenders, strip sacking, the Bills were on fire early and caught the Vikes off guard and the Vikes were left in shock for the remainder of the game.  The Big surprise not only was the offense but the defense stopped the Vikes offense hthat has a ton of weapons and a big time quarterback.

The Packers are coming off a tough loss to the Redskins in DC last week and having a strong first two weeks.  Rodgers was still effective on the rain soaked field but having Aaron Jones back was a great sight since the Packers struggled mightily in the running game for the first few weeks.

It’s tough to win on the road, especially in the house of one of the best teams in the NFL.  Asking a rookie to do it in back to back weeks is also a tough ask, but mind you, Shady McCoy is expected to play.  Take the Packers to cover in the win and in the over, Packers 30-17.

Cincinnati at Atlanta, 1:00 PM, CBS (Falcons -3.5, O/U: 53)

The Bengals got knocked off the undefeated list last week in Carolina.  It still ended up being fairly close despite the 4 turnovers (4 INT’s by Dalton) they committed which lead to 17 Panthers points.  They didn’t seem to miss Mixon all that much as Bernard stepped up nicely and contributed a rushing score.

The Falcons have had a hard time on defense holding offenses to under 450 yards.  Despite that, the offense is firing on all cylinders including new weapon, rookie Calvin Ridley.  As the Bengals are without their star running back, the Falcons’ Freeman is doubtful for this game as well but Coleman is capable.

Take the Bengals to cover in the loss and in the over, Falcons 31-28.

Detroit at Dallas, 1:00 PM, FOX (Cowboys -3, O/U: 44)

The Lions and Patricia, who looked absolutely abysmal in week one with their hat on backwards, have flipped the hat around to the front and have progressively gotten better each of the last two weeks.  Last week was a huge test as Patricia went up against mentor Belicheck.  They have been more and more effective on offense as they started to find their stride with a solid 1-2 punch in the backfield between Johnson and Blount.

The Cowboys offense has looked like it hit a brick wall and have been riding Elliott on each of his runs.  Dak has no big time receivers, no one who can make a play on the perimeter and being that he’s a B quarterback at best, he doesn’t do well when he has to try and make something happen with his arm if his receivers aren’t getting open or dropping balls.  The defense has been the strongest part of the team but that doesn’t help much when your offense can’t score.

Strange to see the Cowboys as three point favorites given that their offense can’t score.  Take the Lions to cover and win in the under, Lions 24-17.

Houston at Indianapolis, 1:00 PM, CBS (Colts -1, O/U: 47.5)

Watson has yet to flash any resemblance of his handful of games from last year.  The defense has been good but not productive enough with 3 takeaways but none in the last two games.  They’re stuck at 0-3 even with all of those weapons for Watson to throw to.

The Colts have yet to find any consistency in their ground game and after seeing Luck pulled for the hail marry, there’s cause for concern.  Luck has been strong however, despite not having much zip on the deeper throws.  He’s been able to orchestrate decent drives, and has 5-3 TD-INT ratio.  By the way, the Colts’ defense has been sneaky good!

The line opened up at -3 Colts and has worked itself down to -1.  I can only imagine that it’s due to people still holding on hope for Watson to return to his play from last year.  Not happening.  Take the Colts to win in the cover, also in the under, Colts 24-20.

Miami at New England, 1:00 PM, CBS (Patriots -7, O/U: 49)

Miami’s defense has been pretty good and Brady doesn’t have any weapons outside of Gronk in the passing game.  Take the Fins to cover in the loss and in the under, Patriots 24-21.

N.Y. Jets at Jacksonville, 1:00 PM, FOX (Jags -7.5, O/U: 39.5)

Great defenses usually tee off on rookie quarterbacks.  Darnold seems to hold on to the ball too long for fear of throwing a pick or making a bad decision with the ball.  Take the Jags to win and cover in the under, Jags 21-10.

Philadelphia at Tennessee, 1:00 PM, FOX (Titans +3.5, O/U: 41)

A beat up Mariota goes against a great defense and tough secondary.  Take the Eagles to cover in the win and in the over, Eagles 27-21.

Tampa Bay at Chicago, 1:00 PM, FOX (Bears -3, O/U: 46)

Trubisky is good during the scripted portion of the games (starts of the game and beginning of the 2^nd half).  Other than that, Mitch-a-oploza isn’t effective.  Take the Buccs to beat Mitch-a-poloza, cover and in the over.  Buccs 27-23.

Cleveland at Oakland, 4:05 PM, FOX (Raiders -3, O/U: 45)

Raiders are the best winless teams out there and have to get off the snide.  Take the Raiders in a covering win, in the under, Raiders 21-17.

Seattle at Arizona, 4:05 PM, FOX (Cardinals +3.5, O/U: 40)

Take the Seahawks to cover and win, in the under, Seahawks 20-17.

New Orleans at N.Y. Giants, 4:25 PM, CBS (Giants +3.5, O/U: 52.5)

Saints score a ton and give up a ton, also are bad on the road with no pass rush.  Take the Giants to win and cover in the over, Giants 31-27.

San Francisco at L.A. Chargers, 4:25 PM, CBS (Chargers -10.5, O/U: 46)

No Garapolo, no McKinnon, the 49ers are toast.  Take the Chargers to win and cover convincingly in the over, Chargers 35-17.

Baltimore at Pittsburgh, 8:20 PM, NBC (Steelers -3, O/U: 51)

This might as well be a pickem, doesn’t matter the stadium and fans in the stands because these games are usually pretty close.  Steelers are the most penalized team so far through week 3 and are on pace to be the most penalized team ever.  Take the very disciplined Ravens to cover in the loss but in the under, Steelers 20-19.

#beatyourbookie

Colin Cowherd’s Blazing 5:

o    Houston at Indianapolis – Indianapolis (-1)

o    Seattle at Arizona – Arizona (+3)

o    Cleveland at Oakland – Oakland (-2.5)

o    New Orleans at NY Giants – NY Giants (+3.5)

o    Baltimore at Pittsburgh – Baltimore (+3)