Kansas City @ Denver, 8:15p, ESPN (Broncos +4, O/U: 53.5)
Patrick Mahomes has been on absolute fire in the first three weeks. 67% completion percentage, 896 yards, 13 touchdowns with zero interceptions has been just barely more exciting than finding out what he really sounds like, and some (everyone) compare it to Kermit the Frog. Kareem Hunt coming off a sensational rookie season has really cooled off given how successful the leading game has been and seeing this offense is scoring at extremely quick paces, the defense has given up a bunch yards and scores. We’ve seen this with the Eagles under Chip Kelly however the Chiefs just feel different.
The Broncos are coming off their first loss against the Ravens. Their defense has been pretty strong in the pass rush and the rush but the secondary has been torched for over 800 yards. Case Keenum has been good enough but still not what the Broncos would’ve liked however he’s had success with star receivers, which he has in Denver. The surprise had been undrafted rookie running back Phillip Lindsay who’s had a strong start, averaging over 6 yards per carry, before being kicked out early in last week’s game. Running successfully along with him is another rookie back, Royce Freeman, averaging over 4 yards a carry.
The goal for the Broncos will be long drives, keeping Mahomes on the sideline. Given that Mahomes has passed every test so far, I don’t see him slowing down anytime soon. Take the Chiefs to win and cover on the road in the over, Chiefs 34-28.