Month: October 2018

Week 5: Sunday Game Picks

Miami at Cincinnati, 1:00p, CBS (Bengals -6, O/U: 47.5)

Take the Bengals to cover in the win, in the under, Bengals 27-20.

Atlanta at Pittsburgh, 1:00p, FOX (Steelers -3, O/U: 57)

Take the Falcons to cover in the win and in the under, Falcons 28-24.

Baltimore at Cleveland, 1:00p, CBS (Browns +3, O/U: 45)

Take the Browns to cover in the loss, in the over, Ravens 24-23.

Denver at N.Y. Jets, 1:00p, CBS (Jets +1, O/U: 42.5)

Take the Jets to cover in the win, in the over, Jets 24-20.

Green Bay at Detroit, 1:00p, FOX (Even, O/U: 50)

Take the Packers to win the pickem (or even if you get them at +1), in the over, Packers 31-28.

Jacksonville at Kansas City, 1:00p, CBS (Chiefs -3, O/U: 48)

Take the Chiefs to cover in the win, in the over, Chiefs 28-24.

N.Y. Giants at Carolina, 1:00p, FOX (Panthers -7, O/U: 44)

Take the Giants to cover in the loss, in the over, Panthers 24-21.

Tennessee at Buffalo, 1:00p, CBS (Bills +6, O/U: 38.5)

Take the Bills to cover in the win, in the over, Bills 27-20.

Oakland at L.A. Chargers, 4:05p, CBS (Chargers -5, O/U: 52)

Take the Raiders to cover in the win, in the under, Raiders 28-21.

Arizona at San Francisco, 4:25p, FOX (49ers -3, O/U: 40.5)

Take the Cardinals to cover in the win, in the over, Cardinals 24-21.

L.A. Rams at Seattle, 4:25p, FOX (Seahawks +7.5, O/U: 51)

Take the Rams to cover in the win, in the over, Rams 35-24.

Minnesota at Philadelphia, 4:25p, FOX (Eagles -3, O/U: 48)

Take the Eagles to cover in the win, in the under, Eagles 24-17.

Dallas at Houston, 8:20p, NBC (Texans -3, O/U: 45.5)

Take the Cowboys to cover in the win, in the over, Cowboys 28-20.

Colin Cowherd’s Blazing 5:

  • Denver at NY Jets – NY Jets (-1.5)
  • Oakland at LA Chargers – Oakland (+5.5)
  • Minnesota at Philadelphia – Minnesota (+3)
  • Arizona at San Francisco – Arizona (+5.5)
  • Washington at New Orleans – Washington (+6.5)

#beatyourbookie

Week 5: Thursday Night Football

Indianapolis vs New England, 8:20p, NFLN, (Patriots -10.5, O/U: 50)

It’s the battle of the twelves.  Andrew Luck back at it and revitalizing the Colts/Patriots rivalry that once included former Colts great Peyton Manning.

Both leaders will more than likely be without their top receivers (Hilton, Gronkowski) but Brady still would have Chris Hogan, Eric Ebron and newcomer Josh Gordon.  The running games for both have been coming along with both introducing rookies into thei backfields, leading their rushing attacks with Hines/Wilkins for the Colts and Michel for the Pats.

The Colts defense has looked improved compared to their most recent seasons and actually are near the pace the Patriots have set themselves this season.  The difference maker will be if the Patriots line can stop the defensive front of the Colts since Brady has an obvious lack of mobility.  This will be close early but once Brady gets dialed in, expect him to slowly pull away from the not quite 100% Andrew Luck.

There has been a huge uprising in the league this year where games you thought were a lock were turned upside down in the first few minutes.  Just when you thought, “ok, maybe this one isn’t such a slam dunk given how hard it’s been to nail bets this year”, not so fast my friend, just a friendly reminder, it’s HARD to win in Gillette Stadium.  Take the Patriots to cover in the win and in the under, Patriots 28-17.

#beatyourbookie

Week 4: Monday Night Football

Kansas City @ Denver, 8:15p, ESPN (Broncos +4, O/U: 53.5)

Patrick Mahomes has been on absolute fire in the first three weeks. 67% completion percentage, 896 yards, 13 touchdowns with zero interceptions has been just barely more exciting than finding out what he really sounds like, and some (everyone) compare it to Kermit the Frog. Kareem Hunt coming off a sensational rookie season has really cooled off given how successful the leading game has been and seeing this offense is scoring at extremely quick paces, the defense has given up a bunch yards and scores. We’ve seen this with the Eagles under Chip Kelly however the Chiefs just feel different.

The Broncos are coming off their first loss against the Ravens. Their defense has been pretty strong in the pass rush and the rush but the secondary has been torched for over 800 yards. Case Keenum has been good enough but still not what the Broncos would’ve liked however he’s had success with star receivers, which he has in Denver. The surprise had been undrafted rookie running back Phillip Lindsay who’s had a strong start, averaging over 6 yards per carry, before being kicked out early in last week’s game. Running successfully along with him is another rookie back, Royce Freeman, averaging over 4 yards a carry.

The goal for the Broncos will be long drives, keeping Mahomes on the sideline. Given that Mahomes has passed every test so far, I don’t see him slowing down anytime soon. Take the Chiefs to win and cover on the road in the over, Chiefs 34-28.

#beatyourbookie