Thanksgiving has come and gone. It was filled with roasted Turkey, gravy boats, pumpkin pie and wins! 3 for 3 on Thanksgiving games, just for you to be precise. It was a gutsy call to take 2 road favorites under 3 points but it paid off. There are some really crazy lines for Sunday but rightfully so in most cases. Disclaimer, it was a holiday weekend so my analysis will be short and sweet but will be solid picks none-the-less.
No Blazing 5 this week but Colin did tweet his favorite line of the week, Rams (-2).
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons, 1p (Falcons -10, O/U: 47.5) The Buccs are looking a bit revitalized with Fitzgerald at the helm but ultimately too late for it to mean anything. Take the Falcons to cover in the under, 31-16. |
| Cleveland Browns at Cincinnati Bengals, 1p (Bengals -7.5, O/U: 38) The Browns held Jacksonville to just 19 in last weeks loss but still lost while the Bengals had a nice little win in Denver. Take the Bengals to pull out the cover but barely and in the under, 24-16. |
| Tennessee Titans at Indianapolis Colts, 1p (Colts +3, O/U: 45.5) The Colts have been playing defense like wet toilet paper. Equally the offense has had a hard time scoring. The Titans season still isn’t lost being 1 game back of the Jaguar. Mariotta has a strong game. Take the Titans in the over, 27-20. |
| Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs, 1p (Chiefs -9.5, O/U: 46.5) The Chiefs have been slipping at the wrong time, losing 4 of their last 5 while scoring more than 20 in only one of those games. The Bills also have slipped, losing their last 3. They started their rookie backup in a panic and he rewarded his coach by throwing 5 picks. Take the Bills to cover but the Chiefs to win in the over, 31-27. |
| Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots, 1p (Patriots -16.5, O/U: 48) The Pats will not take mercy as they face a division foe. The Dolphins can’t buy a win or a cover here. Take the Patriots to cover the massive line in the under, 31-13. |
| Carolina Panthers at New York Jets, 1p (Jets +5.5, O/U: 40) Both teams have virtually the same record against the spread except the Panthers have been playing much better. With Olsen activated from IR, look for him to get back into the swing of things. Take the Panthers to cover in the over, 24-17. |
| Chicago Bears at Philadelphia Eagles, 1p (Eagles -14, O/U: 44)
The Bears have been rising a 3 game losing skid after a miraculous win against the Panthers in week 7 while allowing 20+ points in each loss. The Eagles are flying high on all prey each week, while averaging 30+ points in each of their last 4 games. Don’t expect this one to be close. Take the Eagles to cover in the over, 34-13. |
| New Orleans Saints at Los Angeles Rams, 4:05p (Rams -2, O/U: 53)
A late season road test for the Saints will show us if their 8-2 record is as legit as their scoring (3rd best offense in the league, averaging 30+ each of the last 3 weeks which were wins). Their defense needs to hills up the Rams a bit though as they have averaged 30+ on 3 of their last 4 (having the 2nd best offense in the league). Rams are without Robert Woods and will need Austin, Kupp and Watkins to step up. Look for the upset here as the Saints figured out how to win on the road and on grass this year. Saints cover in the over, 34-31. |
| Seattle Seahawks at San Francisco 49ers, 4:05p (49ers +6.5, O/U: 45)
Seattle has been battling injuries all year on the defensive side of the ball and it’s been next man up. They still have averaged less than 20 points (barely). The 49ers are coming off their first win under Shanahan. Seattle is just too good on offense even with a shaky line. Take the Seahawks to cover in the under, 30-13. |
| Jacksonville Jaguars at Arizona Cardinals, 4:25p (Cardinals +4.5, O/U: 38)
Arizona hasn’t been the same team since losing Johnson and Palmer. Adding AP was a last resort move to spark some offense but that has only helped a few weeks. The Jags have a running game this year which has taken some pressure off of Bortles (since he couldn’t handle it the last few years). Quarterback play is important as Jacksonville has a bit of an upper hand there. Take the Jaguars to cover as road favorites in the under, 21-14. |
| Denver Broncos at Oakland Raiders, 4:25p (Raiders -4, O/U: 43) The Raiders have had drop issues all season long. With that receiving corps, they should be playing for a playoff birth. Denver last won against the Raiders on October 1st and with Lynch starting, look for Denver to pressure hard, early in this game. The change behind center may add some points to Denver’s side of the board but it’ll still be the same outcome. Take the Raiders to cover in the over, 27-21. |
| Green Bay Packers at Pittsburgh Steelers, 8:30p (Steelers -14, O/U: 43.5) The Packers head into Steel town against a hot home team. Hundley has looked poor in his starts and that’ll continue against a good Steelers defense (allowing on average, less than 17/game). There’s no hope for the Pack in this one. Take the Steelers to cover in the over, 30-14. |
Necessary Roughness 