NFL Week 12: Monday Night Football; 80% Covers ATS from Sunday – Discussion

The giving of Thanksgiving continued yesterday in the blog winning every 1 pm game (quite the accomplishment for me) and then finished Sunday with a 9-3 record (12-3 coupled with my Thursday picks), for an 80% winners overall, so far.  This is not the first time the blog has picked 12 winners in a week, it was done a few years ago and is pretty rare.  Now don’t start calling me the next handicapping genius, there’s always luck (good & bad) involved with these picks, example being Carolina.  The absolutely crazy stat that sticks out to me was how I covered 6 of 7 lines of 7 or more points (with the self pat on the back being the Bills and the 3 of 4 covers of 10+ points).

The consistency is what I can pride myself on being not as much luck as with some weekly picks.  We’ve climbed to 56% overall winners.  I’ve been saying all year that 56% is doing acceptionally well as a professional sports bettor and that it was the mark I was striving for.  The consistency I mentioned was not only the season as a whole but in the last 5 weeks, being 41-24-3 (63%).  The way I see it, if there aren’t major changes at QB, these teams are who they appear to be, which makes my job a little easier. More analysis on my picks Thursday, here’s tonight’s game: 

Houston Texas at Baltimore Ravens, 8:30p (Ravens -7.5, O/U: 39.5)

Baltimore started the season shaky, hit or miss on which games that you could predict they’d win.  They’ve stayed still at a 5-5 record and are actually 5-4 ATS.  Momentum is in their favor after shutting out the Packers in Lambeau.  They have one of the worst offenses as in total yards but middle of the road rushing game.

The Texans are hard to read using their season numbers due to Watson being a huge part of them. They’re coming off of a win that snapped a 3 game slide (2 of those loses at the hands of Savage).  Savage looked much better in last week’s game and had help from the now injured, D’Onta Foreman (2 rushing TD’s).

The Ravens will make it tough on the Texans using their home field as an advantage with their top 10 defense.  Take the Ravens to cover in the under, 24-13.

Author: Jeremy Kohl

A good, hard working dude that loves his sports.

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