Thursday nights game was close and I nearly hit on the score exactly. We knew that the game was going to score in the under. Both defenses are pretty good with the Seahawks being the obvious better team defensively. Stanton came out as a shocker by besting Wilson in yards but that’ll happen when you throw it 47 times (even though he only completed 24 of them). I was surprised that the bruiser of a back, AP, was only held to 29 yards but still had 21 carries. That number just shocks me, I mean, 1.4 yards per carry is what he left the game with. I’m astounded by that. I guess you can only bet he’ll have a great game every other week. Nonetheless, we ended up pushing another game, bringing the total on the year to 6 pushes. Hopefully the rest of the week doesn’t hinge on whether we could’ve had a good week with this game being a cover or not. With that said, here’s Sunday’s games:
|New Orleans Saints at Buffalo Bills, 1p (Bills +3, O/U: 48)
The Saints look to continue their high flying offense on the road but we all know that usually isn’t a guarantee. The Bills look to rebound after an embarrassing loss to the Jets last week. Some feel as though the Bills will come out swinging because of that, but the Saints have a half presentable defense this year. Take the Saints in the under, 27-20.
|Green Bay Packers at Chicago Bears, 1p (Bears -4.5, O/U: 37.5)
Brett Hundley hasn’t looked like the quarterback that the Packers thought they drafted. If he’s the guy that they thought would one day be in line to succeed Rodgers, they’re in trouble. Colin Kaepernick would’ve been the more sensible solution, even a week after seeing Hundley’s first start. The Bears have turned to Mitch-a-polooza in Chicago where he’s looked pretty good for being a guy who played football at North Carolina. Their defense is coming around too. Take the Bears to cover in the under, 21-13.
|Cleveland Browns at Detroit Lions, 1p (Lions -10.5, O/U: 43.5)
The Lions still seemed to be firing on all cylinders lately. They actually showed flashes of a running game. Stafford has always been great and he’ll continue that. For the Browns…..well……it’s the Browns. Take the Lions in the under, 31-10.
|Pittsburgh Steelers at Indianapolis Colts, 1p (Colts +10, O/U: 45)
The Steelers tend to play Jekyll and Hyde when playing at home and on the road (worse on the road). Their defense has been the surprise of the team this year. They went into Detroit 2 weeks ago and came away the shocking victors. The Colts have been, well, underwhelming, and that’s not because they’ve screwed me over in 4 of the 5 games I took them in. They have a highly touted former Patriots backup (which seems to be a thing lately), but without a new offensive line, he could end up like Andrew Luck, who’s prognoses has gone from, back in a few weeks to career ending injury. Take the Steelers to cover in the over, 31-17.
|Los Angeles Chargers at Jacksonville Jaguars, 1p (Jaguars -5, O/U: 41)
This should be a really good matchup. The Chargers have been noticeably better on the road than at home and actually have looked more comfortable. They started 0-4 with 3 of those games at home, 3-1 in their last 4 (2-1 on the road). Fournette is back this week after his one game team levied suspension. Despite missing last week, he’s 6th in rushing. If the Chargers can slow down Fournette, they’ll have a real shot at beating a team that has been a real surprise in the league this year. This could be a real good chance at another push for me but I think that the Chargers could take this one. Take the Chargers to cover in the over, 24-21.
|New York Jets at Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 1p (Buccaneers +1.5, O/U: 43.5)
The Jets are still impressing, especially after taking the Bills to task last week. Their efforts have kept them in the hunt for a playoff spot (2.5 games back of the AFC East leading Patriots), even for a 4-5 team. McCown has kept the ball in pretty safe hands while the running game has been keeping defenses honest with a pair of older backs. The Buccs haven’t lived up to expectations this year and now their young star QB is hurt and will miss a few weeks. After watching Hardknocks this year, I could’ve sworn this team could’ve turned some heads but now D-JAx is back to attitude he showed Philly on the way out and Fitzpatrick is leading the team. The line moved 1 point in favor of the Jets since yesterday and I can’t believe that Fitz helped move that line. Take the Jets to roll in the over, 31-17.
|Cincinnati Bengals at Tennessee Titans, 1p (Titans -5.5, O/U: 40.5)
What’s there to say about the Bengals? A team that once had really good regular seasons but fizzled when it came time for playoffs, to a team that just can’t do much of anything. Of their 3 wins, only 1 came against a team at our above .500 (Bills). The Titans have been a sleeper team to watch all season. They have statement wins against the Jags and Seahawks and are vying to stay atop of their division. Take the Titans to cover in the over, 27-20.
|Minnesota Vikings at Washington Redskins, 1p (Redskins +1.5, O/U: 40.5)
In the Case Keenum parts of the season, the Vikings have surprisingly been able to survive with a 5-2 record. While their record may be impressive it’s echo they came against that’s as equally unimpressive (Buccs, Bears, Packers, Ravens, Browns). Keenum’s first test comes against a Redskins team flying high off of last week’s win in Seattle. Look for the Redskins offense to be on, as Cousins did his best Aaron Rodgers impression last week. Also look for their pass rush and coverage team too suffocate Keenum. How are the Vikes road favorites in this one? Take the Redskins to cover in the over with a win, 24-21.
|Houston Texans at Los Angeles Rams, 4:05p (Rams -12, O/U: 45.5)
This line rose a point since Friday so that just tells you how Vegas feels about the Texans. They looked bad in week one with Savage and they still looked horrible with him last week losing against the Colts! Talk about surprises in the NFL, the Rams turnaround from last year is amazing. We knew Gurley would have another good season but for Goff to look completely different is the real shock. Now he has better weapons than last year but it’s definitely the change in mindset of this team from their new coach that has them flying. Take the Rams to win handedly in the under, 27-10.
|Dallas Cowboys at Atlanta Falcons, 4:25p (Falcons -3, O/U: 48.5)
The Falcons may have one of the best offenses in the league but they just can’t pull away from opponents in their games. Just when you thought they get a decent lead, it’s squandered away late and they have to claw on the 4th. Their schedule up to this point shows the struggle of this season (wins: Bears, Packers, Lions, Jets / losses: Bills, Dolphins, Patriots, Panthers). The ‘Boys will be without the only “boy” on their roster (Elliott) as it looks like he finally will be serving his 6 game suspension. They’ll still have some success given the veterans on their roster and the talented Dak Prescott under center. They’ve beaten some really good teams in the last 2 weeks (Chiefs & Redskins) but losing Zeke is huge. The Falcons will be able to build a lead through the air of their defense can hold the boys on offense. Take the Falcons to cover the in the over, 31-27.
|New York Giants at San Francisco 49ers, 4:25p (49ers +2.5, O/U: 42)
This one should be an interesting game. I’m not kidding you, interestingly bad. These offenses are in shambles but their defenses have kept them in games. I don’t have many whimsical stats for you but the excitement of possibly seeing Jimmy Garoppolo is alive and could breathe life into this team if he eventually takes the field today. Take the 49ers to cover in the under, 14-13.
|New England Patriots at Denver Broncos, 8:30p (Broncos +7, O/U: 44.5)
The line has come down to 7 which makes this a near “must bet” game. I know Denver has played the Patriots well in the last few years but the had one of the best QB’s to lace them up leading them. This offense is lackluster, and have been flat all season long. Osweiler got the nod to start last week and it didn’t go very well and while he may have beaten the Patriots the last time Blake faced them, basically all of his key weapons have some sort of nagging injuries and there’s a bunch of tape on his game and if anyone can scour tape and magnify flaws of a bad QB, it’s Belichick and the Pats. Brady and the Pats are showing everyone how you follow up a Super Bowl win, starting the next session 6-2 with wins like the Saints game in New Orleans. Don’t expect much to change for them in this game. They’re going to want to get on the board fast and often. Take the Patriots to cover in the over, 31-17.
Colin Cowherd’s Blazing 5:
- Minnesota -1
- LA Chargers +4
- Buffalo +2.5
- Tampa Bay +2.5
- Dallas +3