Yikes, what a week. My 4pm games have taken nose dive! 7-4 heading into the 4pm games and it looked like I was heading to a double digit week but then a series of events cost me a very solid week.
First off, the Rams had 34 unanswered 1st half points to open off the game and I basically said halfway through the game “well, that’s a loss”, which made me chuckle, sadly. Then we were blessed with the great matchup of the battle of 2 first seed type teams in the AFC, a real battle until the end. Then the ugly head of the “what isa catch” rule decided to bite the Steelers in the rear. That was followed by the confusing fake spike, botched slant pick which ruined even a tie. That was a potential cover, hell, a tie would’ve been a cover, which I was ok with. Lastly, the Raiders had a shot to cover late in the game which would’ve kept me above water. That ended up being a bust the moment that Carr decided to gamble by trying to score on an early down play by fumbling the ball into the end zone while scrambling to his right when he saw a shot to score. That ended up being a push. That’s why it’s called betting, from a potential 9-6 to a realistic 7-7-1.
Needless to say, we need this one tonight…
|Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 8:30p (Buccaneers +7, O/U: 49.5)
Right now the matchup says Falcons should cover easily. The Falcons are 5-0 against the spread in their last Monday Night games, Buccs are 0-3-1 ATS against a team with a winning record, Buccs are 0-5 ATS in their last NFC South opponents and the favorite in this matchup is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 meetings (Falcons 5-3 as favorites, Buccs 2-0 as favorites).
The Buccs however, are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10, with one of their losses coming against the Falcons in Atlanta. They will also be without Gerald McCoy, their leader on defense. One of the Buccstop receivers, TE Brate is questionable with his hip and McDonald is also questionable with his back. The Buccs are banged up but the Falcons have their injury issues with Sanu having knee issues but expected to play and Coleman out with a concussion.
The Falcons are still high powered and ready to rock. Remember, the Buccs haven’t had off since week 1 and 14 straight weeks of an NFL season can take its toll. Take the Falcons in the over, Falcons 34-17.