Tennessee at Houston, 8:20p, ESPN (Texans -4, O/U: 43)
The Titans have been an up and down team all year long. They have wins against the Texans earlier this year as well as the Eagles, Patriots, Cowboys and Jaguars. They’ve also lost by 1 at the Bills and at the Chargers but also were blown out by the Ravens at home and the Colts in Indy. Mariota has been fairly efficient with the ball, completing a career best so far 67.6% of his passes however, 7 TD’s to 6 picks and only a measly 1500 yards isn’t going to help the team. The league has been accommodating offenses and especially in the passing game. If Mariota can’t consistently get to the 250-300 yard mark with at least 2 TD’s each game, he will be replaced.
The Texans will be playing tonight with heavy hearts after their owner Bob McNair passed away just days ago. After starting the year off 0-3, they’ve righted the ship to go on a 7 game winning streak. The Texans passing game has also been light on yards and Watson hasn’t been so careful with the ball with his 2:1 td/int ratio but they’ve been playing much better on defense and getting after the quarterback. JJ Watt has had a sack in each of his last 3 games, 10 in the last 8 weeks only missing out on the sack party in weeks 1, 2 and 7, and he looks to continue that tonight. Clowney adds another 6.5 sacks in his 9 games played, 4 in his last 4 weeks. They’ll be hungry to go after Mariota, a squirrely quarterback but can be caught in his pocket from time to time.
Take the Texans to cover in the over, Texans 28-20.
8-6 so far this week, it’ll be a winning week but lets make it a 60% week with a cover tonight! Good Luck all!