I really have to find my swagger that I once had on Sunday 4pm and Sunday and Monday night games. They’ve been ruining my solid starts. Each of the last 2 weeks I’ve come out of the early games looking like I’ll hit double digit wins only to end up with an ideal winning percentage. Hopeful that changes tonight.
Denver Broncos at Indianapolis Colts, 8:25p (Colts +3, O/U: 40.5)
Not long ago this would’ve been a 10+ point line with the Broncos being a favorite. That’s clearly not the case this season. Flip flopping between quarterbacks midway through the year and very inconsistent play on the road has made for a dismal season for them. Siemian has been bad, the pass defense hasn’t been what it used to be and the confidence is just gone.
The Colts have just been what the Colts are without a star quarterback, bad. They haven’t been a bad bad team but a tough bad team, especially as of late. In the snow in Buffalo last week, they lost in IT, were in close games (but losses) against Tennessee, Pittsburgh, Houston and Cincinnati (losing each of those by 6 or less). Gore has been really effective given his age and Brissett had played well given the circumstances and had the football world asking “who picks him up to start for their club next year?”
The Broncos are 0-6 on the road against the spread and despite their win loss record, the Colts are 4-2 ATS at home. Take the Colts to cover in the over with a win, Colts 24-20.