Last week we were off to a hot start on Sunday, going 7-2 on the 1 o’clock games before going 2-4 with the rest of the picks (2 games missed covering by 2 points or less), sneaky Vegas. My second straight winning week still keeps me at 56% for the year. As most of you are gearing up for your first week of fantasy playoffs, I’ll be sitting back planning next years drafts since I’m out in all 3 of mine, (shocking, I know), as I was eliminated in the last game of the regular season in 2 of the 3. Can you believe that it’s week 14 already? On to tonight’s game:
|New Orleans Saints at Atlanta Falcons, 8:25p (Falcons -2.5, O/U: 51.5)
Two of the most potent offenses square off against each other in a sweet Thursday divisional round matchup. Ryan and Brees are riding their high flying offenses to being in the top 10 of the league at hurling the ball.
The last time these two met, the Falcons got the best of them but barely (38-32 in week 17 of last year). The Saints were 7-9 and the Falcons went 11-5 and infamously lost in the Super Bowl. Things are different this year, however. The Falcons got off to a slow start (especially scoring in the red zone) and have been coming on in the last few weeks but the Saints have been hot since week 3 while showing off their revamped running game with Alvin Kamara and a defense that plays actual defense.
These teams are pretty evenly matched when you look at yards, points for and against but where the stats stand out for the Saints is their offense averaging 7 points scored more than the Falcons and their defense has improved vastly.
This one will be very close and could turn into a shootout right as soon as the first drive. Take the Saints to cover in the over, 31-28.